Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,878.
Notable Trades
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate is reopening a sizable No position in crude oil after previously trading this market well, suggesting a deliberate event-level thesis rather than a random one-off bet.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $92k lifetime across 74 settled markets
- They have placed $88k across 3 related oil markets, which points to a broader event thesis instead of a one-off trade
- This is a fresh No buy at 69¢ in a liquid market, implying they think the chance of oil hitting $105 by March is lower than the market price suggested
$3,445 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A profitable 72% win-rate trader is re-entering this oil market as part of a larger $93.8k cross-market thesis, suggesting a deliberate macro view rather than a one-off trade.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $92k lifetime
- They have put $93.8k across 3 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-level thesis
- This is a fresh No buy at 74¢ in a liquid market, implying they still see March $105 oil as overpriced
$4,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 72%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate flipped into a fresh No position on this oil market after previously closing a Yes stake, signaling a deliberate thesis change worth following.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $88k across 139 settled positions.
- They trade related markets heavily — 7 markets in this event for $86.9k total — which suggests a broader oil thesis, not a one-off bet.
- This is a fresh No position at 67¢ after closing an earlier Yes stake, showing a clear change in view.
$3,890 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate is making a fresh cross-market crude oil bet by buying No at 50¢ after previously closing a Yes position, signaling a meaningful thesis change worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $87k across 139 settled positions
- They have traded 7 related crude oil markets for $86k total, showing a broad event-level view rather than a one-off bet
- This is a fresh No position at 50¢ after closing an earlier Yes stake, suggesting a deliberate flip in outlook
$3,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A 20-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed six figures across 8 related crude-oil threshold markets, and this trade builds a clear directional thesis by buying Yes around 12-40¢ implied odds via selling No.
- This 20-day-old wallet has already made 13 large flagged bets totaling about $110k
- The bettor has put about $119k across 8 related crude-oil markets, showing a broad directional thesis
- This trade bought Yes from roughly 12¢ to 40¢, with the biggest fill at 12¢ implying a high-upside view
$43,507 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A profitable 72% bettor is reopening bullish crude exposure across three related oil markets, and this trade is already moving in their favor.
- This bettor has won 72% of 74 resolved markets and is up $78k overall
- They are betting the same oil view across 3 related markets with $58k total, not just making a one-off trade
- They bought Yes at 83¢ equivalent and the market has already moved to 76¢ No, so the trade is immediately in profit
$12,607 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A bettor with a 91% win rate is building a broader crude-oil thesis across three related markets, and this trade is a fresh switch to No at a high implied probability.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is betting across 3 related crude oil markets
- They bought No at 85¢, a high-conviction price that says oil reaching $105 by March looks unlikely to them
- This is a fresh position change, not profit-taking — their prior stake here was a tiny closed Yes bet
$4,379 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Four wallets coordinated into the Yes side across related oil strike markets with meaningful size, including a serial cross-market trader and a repeat new wallet, making this a notable directional macro bet despite mixed individual track records.
- Four wallets put $16.8k on the same upside oil outcome, a coordinated bet that usually matters more than one whale acting alone.
- One bettor has traded 147 related markets across 96 events with a 62% win rate, suggesting this is part of a broader commodity thesis.
- Most of the size went in around 73¢ to 76¢ on Yes exposure, so the copy level is already far below their entry after the market dropped to 24¢.
$16,760 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Yes, $227,998 (78% win rate)
- 0x7011...c6da — No, $40,366
- 0x11e5...ee4d — No, $19,289 (71% win rate)
- 0x80fe...b25b — Yes, $15,000
- 0xf5e8...9fbd — Yes, $14,797
- 0xa25c...6430 — Yes, $14,765 (100% win rate)
- 0x9297...7fe9 — Yes, $14,413
- 0x5c0f...b2ad — Yes, $12,910
- 0xc6b7...340b — Yes, $12,000
- 0x5ac5...cf2e — Yes, $11,790
