Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
21 signals across 3 markets · $249,355 tracked · resolves Mar 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether front-month CME Crude Oil (CL) futures settle at or above key upside levels — $100, $105, or $110 — on any trading day before the end of March 2026. PolySpotter monitors the full event hub, including smart money flows, whale activity, and signal changes across all three oil price targets.
Markets (3)
Top trades across all markets
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A mixed 8-wallet cluster is aggressively reloading into Yes after a major collapse, led by at least one elite 91% win-rate bettor and a 78% win-rate high-volume trader, making this a notable contrarian thesis worth watching.
$46,721Score: 27.6 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Four wallets coordinated into the Yes side across related oil strike markets with meaningful size, including a serial cross-market trader and a repeat new wallet, making this a notable directional macro bet despite mixed individual track records.
$16,760Score: 25.5 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A profitable, high-volume cross-market trader joined a 6-wallet coordinated move into No on a major oil market after a large price swing, suggesting a real thesis worth watching despite the market's deep liquidity.
$3,500Wallet win rate: 69%Score: 14.1 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate is making a fresh cross-market crude oil bet by buying No at 50¢ after previously closing a Yes position, signaling a meaningful thesis change worth tracking.
$3,057Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 14.0 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate flipped into a fresh No position on this oil market after previously closing a Yes stake, signaling a deliberate thesis change worth following.
$3,890Wallet win rate: 93%Score: 14.0 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Coordinated one-sided buying from 6 wallets pushed this oil market sharply higher, making the flow notable even though this individual wallet’s own track record is only average.
$3,588Wallet win rate: 56%Score: 10.1 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A very high-win-rate serial cross-market trader flipped into No on crude oil hitting $100, suggesting a strong event-level view rather than a random one-off bet.
$3,580Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 10.0 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
A proven 92% winner is re-entering the No side on a crude-oil threshold market as part of a very large 10-market energy thesis, which is worth surfacing despite the rich 89¢ price.
$8,596Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 10.0 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A 92% win-rate trader with a massive cross-market commodities track record flipped to a fresh No position in this oil target market, suggesting a strong event-level thesis worth following.
$5,969Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 10.0 - Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Four wallets are making the same bullish oil bet across related markets, and two of them have strong win rates, making this coordinated macro positioning worth watching despite mixed quality in the cluster.
$37,623Score: 9.5
Top wallets in this event
- 0xa3d483…9969$70,888 · 2 markets · 4 alerts · 31% wins
- 0x1a29b7…9b2e$37,448 · 3 markets · 5 alerts · 74% wins
- 0x40604c…3ec3$18,145 · 2 markets · 3 alerts · 86% wins
- 0x3c5b20…0584$6,947 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 93% wins
- 0xae4c91…d114$4,379 · 1 market · 1 alert · 91% wins
- 0x1cb322…1356$3,588 · 1 market · 1 alert · 56% wins
- 0xa800d9…bd7a$3,500 · 1 market · 1 alert · 69% wins
- 0xe73874…df65$3,356 · 1 market · 1 alert · 64% wins
FAQs
What are the Polymarket odds for crude oil hitting $100, $105, or $110 by March?
The event includes separate prediction markets for CL crude oil reaching $100, $105, and $110 by the end of March 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live odds for each level so you can compare how traders price different upside oil scenarios.
What is the smart money doing in this crude oil prediction market?
PolySpotter is tracking $249,355 in smart money activity across this event, with 21 signals detected. These signals help show whether experienced traders are accumulating Yes or No exposure across the $100, $105, and $110 crude oil targets.
How does this crude oil market resolve?
Each child market resolves to Yes if the official CME settlement price for the active front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures contract is equal to or above that market’s listed price on any trading day by the final trading day of March 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No.
Why are traders watching oil prices, Iran, and Hormuz for this event?
Crude oil can move sharply on supply shocks, geopolitical risk, and disruptions around key shipping routes like the Strait of Hormuz. Those themes may influence how Polymarket traders price the chance of CL reaching $100 or higher.
When does the crude oil $100-$110 event end?
The markets are scheduled to resolve based on trading through the end of March 2026, with the event listed as resolving by March 31, 2026.