Part of: #1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
This prediction market asks whether Spider-Man: Brand New Day will be the most searched movie in Google’s official 2026 Year in Search Global Movies list. It resolves when Google publishes the 2026 list, expected by the end of 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $1,889 in smart-money activity and one signal.
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $8,752.
Categories: Tech, Movies, google, Culture, Best of 2026, Google Search
Notable Trades
Serial sharp fading Spider-Man
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a large No bet in a thin market, with a track record suggesting meaningful edge.
- This bettor has won 73% of 431 resolved trades and earned about $491,000 in profit.
- The $1,889 No bet was nearly six times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in this relatively thin market.
- The trader has positioned across 45 events and 59 markets, indicating a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off wager.
$1,889 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Serial trader makes oversized No bet
A serial cross-market trader with substantial lifetime profits placed a $6.9K concentrated No bet that was over 21 times the market's 24-hour volume, though its historical win rate does not clearly exceed average entry odds.
- This trader has won 82% of 1,005 resolved bets and is up $816,809 lifetime.
- The $6,863 No position was more than 21 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- The trader has participated across 32 events and 83 markets, providing meaningful context beyond a one-off wager.
$6,863 on No | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0x5188...c804 — No, $11,435 (82% win rate)
- 0xb1ca...1705 — Yes, $9,881 (57% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $2,557
- 0x3c59...1766 — No, $2,222 (73% win rate)
- 0x066d...07bc — Yes, $2,059
- 0xbfdd...e70e — Yes, $1,939 (85% win rate)
- 0x91e5...0947 — Yes, $1,000 (54% win rate)
- 0x4337...8882 — Yes, $555 (74% win rate)
- 0x04bf...7caf — No, $500 (56% win rate)
- 0xffea...06c0 — No, $409 (63% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran deal by mid-June
Covers 10 related markets
Iran deal before mid-June
Covers 6 related markets
Hormuz blockade lifted late June
Covers 6 related markets
US-Iran peace deal by 2026
Covers 11 related markets
Iran ceasefire will hold
Covers 3 related markets
Iran closes airspace in June
Covers 5 related markets
Fed will cut rates in July 2026
Covers 1 related market