Part of: Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,564.

Categories: Oil, Iran, Hormuz, Geopolitics, Strait of Hormuz, Rewards 20, 4.5, 50

Notable Trades

6-wallet funded cluster

A known 6-wallet funded cluster is buying Yes on a thin, momentum-driven Strait of Hormuz transit market despite this individual wallet’s weak history.

  • A 6-wallet cluster funded by the same source is behind this position, a stronger signal than a normal single-wallet bet.
  • The bet was large relative to recent activity, equal to about 65% of the detected 24h volume.
  • Yes has strong momentum, moving up 35 points over the past week and another 5 points today.

$1,564 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 48%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 26447664, $31,007
  2. 0xe32b...626e Outcome 26447664, $3,098
  3. 0x8c66...44f3 Outcome 26447664, $1,985 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x1437...acfe Outcome 26447664, $1,190
  5. 0x1733...9411 Outcome 26447664, $1,177 (79% win rate)
  6. 0xe94b...5abe Outcome 26447664, $1,038 (73% win rate)
  7. 0x3069...f8ef Outcome 26447664, $995 (72% win rate)
  8. 0xbd04...fbb0 Outcome 26447664, $630 (73% win rate)
  9. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 26447664, $561 (76% win rate)
  10. 0xc7d0...1f8a Outcome 26447664, $181

Related Theses

Starmer stays through June 2026

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Chevalier upsets Espaillat primary

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Israel-Iran ceasefire will hold

Covers 2 related markets

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

ResolvedAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?$1,564 tracked1 signalOilIranHormuzGeopoliticsStrait of HormuzRewards 20, 4.5, 50

This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered. Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized). This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized. If the data for the specified date has not been finalized by the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the day on which such data is released, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point. Additionally, if the relevant data is not released and finalized within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point. In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections. Data integrity issues refer only to clerical or other similar errors in the underlying data, and do not include cases where IMF Portwatch differs from alternative sources. Only revisions to previously published data points made before the applicable resolution time will be considered. The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.

Notable Trades

Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?

41d ago

$1,564 on Yes at 74¢

Related Theses