Part of: 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election Winner
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $117,217.
Categories: Elections, World, Politics, Global Elections, South Korea, Main Election, World Elections
Notable Trades
80% winner buys NO
Surfaced despite a weak price-impact signal because the buyer has a large 595-bet history with an 80% win rate and positive lifetime P&L.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 595 bets and is up $24K lifetime.
- They bought No at 75¢ after a rapid 11-point move in under 5 minutes.
- This is a fresh No entry after previously closing positions on both sides.
$1,939 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
Profitable serial politics trader
Experienced profitable cross-market trader is taking the No side amid a sharp price move against Yes in a niche election market.
- This bettor has won 62% of 416 resolved trades and is up about $109k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 272 events, suggesting a repeatable niche strategy.
- The trade backs No at 77¢ as Yes has fallen about 32 points in the past day.
$1,094 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%
Profitable election bettor re-entering
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved-bet record is re-entering Park Wan-soo Yes after prior exposure and has nearly $20k positioned across the event.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $92.6k lifetime.
- They have nearly $20k positioned across related markets in this election event.
- Entry at 23¢ suggests they see a meaningful rebound after a sharp 1-day price drop.
$2,299 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable new wallet buying NO
A 1-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets is buying No on a niche political market with meaningful recent movement.
- This new wallet is only 1 day old but is already up $3,594 across 9 positions.
- It has now triggered 3 large-bet alerts totaling $5,174, suggesting repeated conviction rather than a one-off trade.
- The bettor bought No at 55¢ after a sharp short-term move, implying they see Park Wan-soo as less likely than the market suggests.
$1,682 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Four-wallet No surge
High-score alert with four wallets pushing $14.1k toward No during a 73x volume spike, including a brand-new repeat large bettor already profitable.
- Four wallets put $14.1k behind No as market volume spiked 73x above normal.
- A one-day-old repeat large bettor joined the No side and is already up $3.6k across early positions.
- The price moved about 11 percentage points toward No in minutes, supporting the direction of the cluster.
$14,120 on No
Sharp wallet joining Yes cluster
Sharp profitable wallet with 78% historical win rate is buying Yes alongside one-sided cluster flow and an 80x volume spike in a plausible informed-election market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $92,564 lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side, totaling $21,062 in Yes exposure.
- Market volume is running 80x above its historical average, suggesting fresh attention on this race.
$1,350 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%
Profitable serial trader joins Yes flow
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought Yes alongside one-sided flow and an 80x market volume spike.
- This bettor has won 62% of 416 resolved bets and is up about $109k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $21k total, pointing to coordinated Yes demand.
- Market volume spiked 80x above normal, and this entry at 42¢ is already trading around 45¢.
$2,108 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 62%
New repeat whale fading Park
A 9-day-old repeat large bettor is now mostly fading Park, alongside an 87x volume spike and a sharp two-minute drop in Yes odds.
- This 9-day-old wallet has already triggered 11 large-bet alerts totaling $55k.
- The market saw an 87x volume spike while Yes dropped 11 points in under two minutes.
- The latest and largest trade effectively bought No at 63¢ after the bettor reversed away from Park.
$6,321 on No
Sharp cluster buying Yes
High-score coordinated Yes buying on a Korean gubernatorial market, led by a profitable 78% winner and reinforced by a repeat new-wallet whale plus a major volume spike.
- One bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $92.6K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $28K of Yes within minutes, including a 1-day-old repeat whale with $59.6K recently flagged.
- Market volume spiked 87x above normal, suggesting fresh positioning despite Yes being down sharply today.
$28,065 on Yes
Sharp hedged election trader
Sharp profitable wallet made a large mixed/hedged trade during a major volume spike, with the largest leg buying No before the market moved sharply that way.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $90k lifetime.
- The largest leg was a $13.3k No buy at 41¢, shortly before No moved to 71¢.
- They also bought Yes, so this looks partly hedged rather than a simple all-in bet.
$24,223 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 48306232, $116,834
- 0x414b...0d3f — Outcome 48306232, $11,873 (65% win rate)
- 0x40cf...d21d — Outcome 48306232, $6,449 (50% win rate)
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 48306232, $3,640
- 0x4be5...c1b3 — Outcome 48306232, $3,150 (85% win rate)
- 0x2ba8...d72b — Outcome 48306232, $2,490 (80% win rate)
- 0xe32b...626e — Outcome 48306232, $1,875
- 0x5822...8774 — Outcome 48306232, $1,331 (100% win rate)
- 0xce05...9176 — Outcome 48306232, $526
- 0xb6e5...7127 — Outcome 48306232, $370
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