Part of: South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner
Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $23,788.
Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, USA Election, Senate Primary, South Carolina, primary elections, Republican Primary, Lindsey Graham
Notable Trades
Four-wallet No conviction cluster
Four wallets coordinated $14.5K in No bets, with the market subsequently moving from roughly 78% to 100% No despite mediocre individual track records.
- Four wallets committed $14,461 to No, including multiple bets accounting for most of the recent market volume.
- The market moved sharply toward No, with the price down 22 percentage points for Yes over one day.
- The wallets lack a standout win rate, so this is more compelling as coordinated event positioning than as a proven bettor signal.
$14,461 on No
Profitable wallet fades Fry
A profitable high-volume wallet is adding a sizable No position in a relatively thin political market, with the trade helping push the market sharply away from Russell Fry.
- This high-volume bettor is up about $153k lifetime and has put roughly $12k into No here.
- The buy was large for this market and helped move No from 53¢ to about 67¢.
- A wide spread and thin order book make this look like a confident political position, not routine flow.
$1,623 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable wallet fades Fry
A profitable high-volume wallet is adding a sizable No position in a relatively thin political market, with the trade helping push the market sharply away from Russell Fry.
- This high-volume bettor is up about $153k lifetime and has put roughly $12k into No here.
- The buy was large for this market and helped move No from 53¢ to about 67¢.
- A wide spread and thin order book make this look like a confident political position, not routine flow.
$1,266 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Profitable wallet fades Fry
A profitable high-volume wallet is adding a sizable No position in a relatively thin political market, with the trade helping push the market sharply away from Russell Fry.
- This high-volume bettor is up about $153k lifetime and has put roughly $12k into No here.
- The buy was large for this market and helped move No from 53¢ to about 67¢.
- A wide spread and thin order book make this look like a confident political position, not routine flow.
$6,438 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 64763961, $161,546
- 0xecaa...77a9 — Outcome 48379765, $20,358 (73% win rate)
- 0x5a21...9318 — Outcome 48379765, $10,318 (62% win rate)
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 48379765, $10,258 (71% win rate)
- 0x4f1d...8de2 — Outcome 48379765, $8,484 (74% win rate)
- 0x2200...0f2d — Outcome 48379765, $7,565 (32% win rate)
- 0x3989...27b1 — Outcome 48379765, $5,226 (47% win rate)
- 0x8dc1...fa8d — Outcome 48379765, $5,000
- 0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 48379765, $4,184
- 0x4c8c...e36f — Outcome 48379765, $3,755 (89% win rate)
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