Part of: Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

This prediction market tracks whether both the U.S. House and Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution limiting U.S. military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict by June 30, 2026. It resolves Yes only if matching legislation passes both chambers by the deadline; otherwise it resolves No. PolySpotter currently tracks $1,186 in smart money and 1 signal for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,186.

Categories: Politics, Iran, Geopolitics, U.S. x Iran, Congress

Notable Trades

Elite cross-market sharp

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought No in a thin market, making the wallet track record the main signal.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved bets and is up $1.53M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 70 events with over $14.2M in flagged cross-market volume.
  • The $1.2K No buy is larger than the market’s entire 24h volume, showing conviction in a quiet market.

$1,186 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Top Holders

  1. 0xed10...d2e5 No, $1,318 (89% win rate)
  2. 0xaa68...94a7 Yes, $290 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x3078...0389 Yes, $241
  4. 0xe3ae...217a Yes, $230
  5. 0x7e80...631b Yes, $211
  6. 0x908b...a02a No, $165
  7. 0x16da...05c0 Yes, $147
  8. 0x1e98...6345 Yes, $141
  9. 0x54a7...881b No, $133 (94% win rate)
  10. 0xec82...6eaa Yes, $100

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Trump avoids Six Seven

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Starmer leaves before May 2026

Covers 1 related market

Powell exits before May

Covers 2 related markets

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

29dCongress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$1,186 tracked1 signalPoliticsIranGeopoliticsU.S. x IranCongress
Yes
8¢
No
93¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify. A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form. The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Price History — “No
94¢
79¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

1h ago

$1,186 on No at 90¢

90¢93¢3¢

Related Theses