Part of: Israel closes its airspace by...?

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $5,124.

Categories: Iran, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No accumulation

Three wallets added $5.1K to No positions as the market moved down toward 16% Yes, providing a moderate coordinated bearish signal despite limited track-record edge.

  • Three wallets added $5,124 to No at 80–83¢, with the market now pricing No at 84%.
  • The coordinated buying aligns with an 8.5-point one-day decline in the Yes price.
  • Most of the wallets already held No, so this is increased conviction rather than a fresh, high-confidence signal.

$5,124 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x57cc...882c Outcome 57183668, $90,036 (27% win rate)
  2. 0x7447...a16d Outcome 57183668, $29,132 (52% win rate)
  3. 0x152f...c7e7 Outcome 57183668, $15,000
  4. 0x93fb...3e4a Outcome 57183668, $12,945 (42% win rate)
  5. 0x6a83...4c59 Outcome 57183668, $11,717 (41% win rate)
  6. 0x7bc1...8db4 Outcome 57183668, $11,711 (71% win rate)
  7. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 57183668, $10,199 (70% win rate)
  8. 0xf791...6cca Outcome 57183668, $5,667
  9. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 57183668, $5,269
  10. 0x6992...6c1d Outcome 57183668, $4,950 (31% win rate)

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

ResolvedIsrael closes its airspace by...?$5,124 tracked1 signalIranIsraelPoliticsGeopoliticsIsrael x IranRewards 50, 4.5, 20

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
102¢
98¢
94¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Israel closes its airspace by August 15?

40d ago

$5,124 on No at 81¢