Israel closes its airspace by...?
2 signals across 1 market · $2,388 tracked · resolves May 31, 2026
This Polymarket event tracks whether Israel initiates a major closure of its civilian airspace by May 31. Traders are pricing the risk of a broad commercial aviation shutdown tied to Israel-Iran and regional geopolitical tensions, with PolySpotter monitoring smart money activity across the market.
Markets (1)
Top trades across all markets
- 91% winner buys NO
Proven 91% winner with large lifetime profits is buying No on a geopolitics market, though the position is modest and currently available below their entry.
$1,388Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0 - 91% winner buys NO
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 91% resolved win rate bought No on a geopolitical airspace-closure market, though the stake is modest.
$1,000Wallet win rate: 91%Score: 4.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x88c491…129a$2,388 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 91% wins
FAQs
What are the odds Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
The live Polymarket odds reflect how traders are pricing the chance of a major Israeli civilian airspace closure by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money alerts so you can see whether informed wallets are leaning Yes or No.
What does this Israel airspace closure market resolve on?
The market resolves Yes if Israel initiates a major closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across all or most Israeli civilian airspace by the specified deadline. Otherwise, it resolves No.
What is the smart money doing on this market?
PolySpotter has tracked $1,388 in smart money activity across this event, with one recent signal showing a 91% winner buying No. That suggests at least one historically successful trader is positioning against a qualifying closure occurring by May 31.
When does the Israel airspace closure market resolve?
This event is scheduled around the May 31 deadline. The market resolves based on whether a qualifying major airspace closure occurs by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.