Part of: Israel closes its airspace by...?
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,874.
Categories: Iran, Israel, Politics, Geopolitics, Israel x Iran, Rewards 50, 4.5, 20
Notable Trades
93% winner cross-market buyer
Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet win rate and nearly $100k profit is buying Yes as part of a larger cross-market airspace-positioning thesis.
- This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $99.9k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 4 related markets with about $31.4k total exposure.
- Buying at 8¢ implies a long-shot thesis with large upside if the airspace-risk view is right.
$1,290 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
88% winner buying quiet-market Yes
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with an 88% resolved win rate and $334k lifetime profit bought Yes on a previously quiet airspace-closure market.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $334k lifetime.
- They have traded across 31 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge rather than a one-off bet.
- Their $1.6k Yes buy was over 7x the market’s recent 24h volume at the time flagged.
$1,584 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 93%
Top Holders
- 0x57cc...882c — Outcome 13271459, $88,888 (38% win rate)
- 0x8d4b...07cb — Outcome 13271459, $49,160 (44% win rate)
- 0xae7c...487e — Outcome 13271459, $30,404 (86% win rate)
- 0x7e52...00f5 — Outcome 13271459, $16,494 (79% win rate)
- 0xc040...beac — Outcome 13271459, $10,537 (52% win rate)
- 0x152f...c7e7 — Outcome 13271459, $8,218
- 0xa20a...ed3a — Outcome 13271459, $7,909
- 0xe471...c87c — Outcome 13271459, $7,264 (48% win rate)
- 0x6a83...4c59 — Outcome 13271459, $7,000 (41% win rate)
- 0x758c...074a — Outcome 13271459, $5,000 (14% win rate)
Related Theses
Iran deal arrives late
Covers 2 related markets
Iran closure comes early or late
Covers 3 related markets
Ceasefire arrives between July 24–31
Covers 4 related markets
Iran deal after mid-June
Covers 3 related markets
Israel airspace closures will be temporary
Covers 5 related markets
Trump lifts blockade by April
Covers 8 related markets
Iran keeps airspace open
Covers 2 related markets
Ceasefire holds through August 15
Covers 3 related markets
US announces Iran blockade soon
Covers 3 related markets
US-Iran meeting will occur
Covers 1 related market
