James Comey arrested by April 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,495.

Categories: Trump, Politics, fbi, James Comey

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by April 30?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$1,495

James Comey arrested by April 30?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$2,000 | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0xdaef...54e9 Yes, $7,000 (63% win rate)
  2. 0xa771...42d1 No, $4,951 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x2471...e703 No, $1,823
  4. 0x0482...6b0a Yes, $1,233 (33% win rate)
  5. 0x8633...a08d Yes, $1,000 (68% win rate)
  6. 0x547d...ea58 Yes, $928
  7. 0x83cd...26d0 No, $621
  8. 0xd553...6af5 Yes, $595
  9. 0x34fa...ec11 No, $579
  10. 0x7593...e677 Yes, $541

Related Theses

Covers 8 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

James Comey arrested by April 30?

12h$3,495 tracked2 signalsTrumpPoliticsfbiJames Comey
Yes
21¢
No
79¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if former FBI Director James Comey is arrested or detained by law enforcement between the time of market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time. A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “No
83¢
67¢
50¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

James Comey arrested by April 30?

3h ago

$1,495

James Comey arrested by April 30?

7h ago

$2,000

Related Theses