Cross-Market Thesis

“Cross-Market Thesis”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $44,599 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xa771570% win rate

Total

$44,599

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
    $12,000 @ 87¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
    $1,259 @ 43¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
    $2,000 @ 31¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
    $1,638 @ 41¢
  5. 5US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
    $5,000 @ 82¢
  6. 6US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
    $11,702 @ 88¢
  7. 7US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?
    $1,000 @ 55¢
  8. 8US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
    $10,000 @ 60¢
Cross-Market Thesis | PolySpotter