Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
This Polymarket tracks whether Jerome Powell will cease to be Chair of the Federal Reserve at any point before the market deadline, with an announced resignation or removal also counting immediately as a Yes. The market is currently focused on a high-impact US politics and economic policy question tied to the Fed, Trump-era pressure, and interest-rate politics, and it resolves in mid-May 2026 based on official information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,528.
Categories: Politics, Jerome Powell, MAGA, Economic Policy, Fed, US Politics, Fed Rates, Trump
Notable Trades
91% win-rate macro bettor
A very high-win-rate wallet with nearly $1.94M in profit just took most of the day’s volume in a thin Powell market, making this a credible copy-trade despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.94M lifetime across 843 markets
- They trade this theme repeatedly across 153 events and just took 58% of this market’s daily volume
- Bought Yes at 90¢ in a thin market, signaling confidence even at a high implied probability
$1,528 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x56c9...0d9e — Yes, $2,093 (91% win rate)
- 0xc6b2...3caa — No, $562
- 0xc8ab...6418 — Yes, $500 (47% win rate)
- 0xece0...fee5 — No, $457
- 0xee17...6ea1 — No, $440
- 0x1052...625e — No, $300
- 0x0a2d...6db9 — No, $279
- 0x7495...7fcf — No, $179
- 0x51f2...38ef — No, $175
- 0x7e09...f885 — No, $50
