Event

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

18 signals across 4 markets · $44,219 tracked · resolves Apr 30, 2026

This Polymarket event tracks whether Mojtaba Khamenei is seen in public by May 31, based on authentic photo or video evidence released within the market timeframe. PolySpotter is monitoring smart money activity, including recent No-side buying from a serial event trader and signals from high win-rate geopolitical bettors.

Markets (4)

  1. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?6 signals · $16,731 tracked
  2. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?6 signals · $14,091 tracked
  3. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?3 signals · $7,989 tracked
  4. Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?3 signals · $5,408 tracked

Top trades across all markets

  1. Sharp cross-market bettor

    Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.

    $1,702Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0
  2. Sharp cross-market bettor

    Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.

    $2,219Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0
  3. Sharp cross-market bettor

    Sharp wallet with an 82% win rate and $817k lifetime profit is buying No while also positioning across related markets.

    $2,250Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 9.0
  4. Profitable serial event trader

    High-composite alert from a profitable serial cross-market trader adding a $4k No bet in a thin geopolitical market.

    $3,989Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.0
  5. Profitable serial event bettor

    Profitable serial cross-market trader is buying No as part of a broader 3-market thesis on the same event.

    $1,595Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 8.0
  6. Proven cross-market bettor

    A proven 75% lifetime winner with broad cross-market history is effectively buying Yes on a geopolitical market via a SELL No trade.

    $2,277Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 7.0
  7. Serial event trader buying No

    A high-volume serial cross-market trader with a solid 70% win rate is taking a fresh $3,000 No position in a news-driven geopolitical market at 77¢.

    $3,000Wallet win rate: 71%Score: 7.0
  8. 76% winner buying No

    Surfacing because a profitable 76% win-rate wallet is buying No and has related cross-market positioning despite only modest bet size.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0
  9. Profitable new repeat bettor

    New 22-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing large bets, already profitable, and bought $3,000 of Yes on a politically information-sensitive market.

    $3,000Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 4.0
  10. 78% winner with Iran thesis

    Surface because a profitable 78% lifetime winner is building a cross-market Iran-related thesis, buying No at 75¢ on a plausible information-sensitive market.

    $2,000Wallet win rate: 75%Score: 4.0

Top wallets in this event

  1. 0xfc2f4f10c7$16,139 · 2 markets · 7 alerts · 81% wins
  2. 0xb8d2bfc66b$12,818 · 2 markets · 5 alerts · 75% wins
  3. 0x6bab660fe5$6,266 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 71% wins
  4. 0xb4f259e5fa$4,595 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 71% wins
  5. 0x9175426acf$3,000 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
  6. 0x46e29df8bb$1,400 · 1 market · 1 alert · 85% wins

More on this event

FAQs

What are the odds that Mojtaba Khamenei appears in public by May 31?

The live Polymarket odds reflect traders’ current view on whether authentic photo or video evidence of Mojtaba Khamenei will emerge by the deadline. PolySpotter tracks those odds alongside smart money flows to show how informed bettors are positioning.

What is the smart money doing on this Mojtaba Khamenei market?

Recent PolySpotter alerts show a serial event trader buying No, along with activity from an 85% win-rate geopolitical bettor and an 85% win-rate event bettor. That suggests notable attention from experienced traders, especially around the No side.

How does this prediction market resolve?

The market resolves Yes if Mojtaba Khamenei is authentically photographed or videotaped in public during the market window and that media is released within the timeframe. It resolves No if no qualifying evidence appears by the listed deadline.

Does old footage or AI-generated media count?

No. Archival footage, reused images, digitally altered media, AI-generated content, staged reproductions, or previously recorded material would not count for Yes resolution under the market rules.

Where can I follow Mojtaba Khamenei Polymarket activity?

PolySpotter tracks this event’s Polymarket odds, smart money signals, and notable trader activity in one place, helping users follow changes in sentiment before the market resolves.