Part of: SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
This prediction market asks whether SpaceX’s official market capitalization at the close of its first trading day after an IPO will be above $1.8 trillion. The market resolves based on the primary exchange’s official listing price and resolves “No” if no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027; PolySpotter currently tracks $1,103 in smart money activity, including a recent perfect-record whale buying Yes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,103.
Categories: Tech, Big Tech, Elon Musk, IPO, SpaceX, IPOs, Climate & Science
Notable Trades
Perfect-record whale buying Yes
Surface because a highly profitable wallet with a 51-for-51 resolved record bought Yes despite the market already pricing it at 83¢.
- This bettor has won 51 of 51 resolved positions and is up about $205K lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 83¢, adding conviction to a market that has moved sharply higher from prior levels.
- The market is long-dated, but this wallet’s track record makes the bet worth following.
$1,103 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xf797...0bf2 — No, $8,736 (48% win rate)
- 0x16c7...3931 — Yes, $7,677 (42% win rate)
- 0x8ee2...bea6 — Yes, $6,056 (37% win rate)
- 0xbc57...5c76 — No, $4,348
- 0x5494...faac — Yes, $3,063 (51% win rate)
- 0x3a8a...7699 — Yes, $2,709 (89% win rate)
- 0xd52b...5c72 — No, $2,433 (100% win rate)
- 0xe89e...0600 — No, $2,392 (51% win rate)
- 0x25dc...e33b — No, $1,845 (54% win rate)
- 0x86e9...4cdf — Yes, $1,531 (100% win rate)
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