Cross-Market Thesis

No Iran deal by June

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, and 2 more are correlated outcomes, committing $48,289 to this thesis across 5 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xa022b72% win rate

Total

$48,289

Markets

5

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $15,411 @ 63¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
    $19,042 @ 33¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $1,752 @ 27¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
    $9,105 @ 80¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $2,978 @ 37¢