Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,554.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

Surfacing because this is a profitable serial cross-market politics bettor with a large sample, adding a Yes position across related Starmer markets.

  • This bettor has won 68% of 988 resolved trades and is up about $202k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $675k deployed across 43 events.
  • They bought Yes at 82¢ with the market now around 84¢, suggesting continued conviction near resolution.

$1,554 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1dd1...a156 — No, $4,354 (53% win rate)
  2. 0xf0c6...ff7a — No, $3,246
  3. 0xbd04...fbb0 — No, $2,931 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x9a75...02d3 — No, $2,000
  5. 0x8c0b...f0fb — No, $1,500 (78% win rate)
  6. 0x02ae...bad5 — No, $1,042
  7. 0x121d...832a — No, $1,000 (75% win rate)
  8. 0x4934...5951 — No, $1,000
  9. 0xcdd2...3d1f — No, $1,000
  10. 0x346c...2ea6 — No, $839

Related Theses

Iran deal in early June

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Iran deal arrives late August

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Iran talks happen, then stall

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Blockade lifted in June

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Anthropic IPOs after October 2026

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United Russia will dominate election

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Brief ceasefire before August

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Covers 2 related markets

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Netanyahu remains prime minister

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

Starmer out by...?$1,554 tracked1 signalStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld
Yes
100¢
No
0¢

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Notable Trades

Starmer out by June 23, 2026?

2026-06-22 06:49 UTC

$1,554 on Yes at 82¢

82¢→100¢↑18¢

Related Theses