Cross-Market Thesis

“Iran talks happen, then stall”

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?, US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $9,930 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0x0845870% win rate

Total

$9,930

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
    $1,343 @ 75¢
  2. 2US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
    $1,252 @ 37¢
  3. 3US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
    $5,900 @ 59¢
  4. 4US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?
    $1,435 @ 46¢
Iran talks happen, then stall — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter