Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,445.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market political bettor

Profitable political bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to a six-market cross-market thesis with $32k deployed.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $29k lifetime.
They have built a $32k thesis across 6 related markets, suggesting sustained conviction rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 88¢ is high, but the market is still below the bettor’s implied confidence level.

$1,445 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 77%

Top Holders

0xbd04...fbb0 — Outcome 93005269, $4,576 (72% win rate)
0xac4a...bf1e — Outcome 93005269, $969
0xda91...9ffd — Outcome 93005269, $570
0x215a...254c — Outcome 93005269, $347
0x80e9...f5c4 — Outcome 63309336, $213
0x1cdd...e595 — Outcome 93005269, $204
0xb6ee...af2f — Outcome 93005269, $200
0x2099...3024 — Outcome 93005269, $144
0x683b...c863 — Outcome 93005269, $64
0x1dd1...a156 — Outcome 93005269, $60 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

Iran surrenders in June

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Iran airspace stays open

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

No lasting Israel-Hezbollah peace

Covers 2 related markets

Hormuz traffic stays below thresholds

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

ResolvedStarmer out by...?$1,445 tracked1 signalStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.