Part of: Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,445.

Categories: Starmer, UK, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World

Notable Trades

Profitable cross-market political bettor

Profitable political bettor with a 78% resolved win rate is adding to a six-market cross-market thesis with $32k deployed.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $29k lifetime.
  • They have built a $32k thesis across 6 related markets, suggesting sustained conviction rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 88¢ is high, but the market is still below the bettor’s implied confidence level.

$1,445 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0xbd04...fbb0 Outcome 93005269, $4,576 (73% win rate)
  2. 0xac4a...bf1e Outcome 93005269, $969
  3. 0x1b60...a55b Outcome 93005269, $417 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x215a...254c Outcome 93005269, $347
  5. 0x80e9...f5c4 Outcome 63309336, $213
  6. 0x1cdd...e595 Outcome 93005269, $204
  7. 0xb6ee...af2f Outcome 93005269, $200
  8. 0x2099...3024 Outcome 93005269, $144
  9. 0x683b...c863 Outcome 93005269, $64
  10. 0x1dd1...a156 Outcome 93005269, $60 (53% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 4 related markets

Starmer exits by June 2026

Covers 6 related markets

Iran closure mid-July only

Covers 3 related markets

Israel stays in Lebanon

Covers 2 related markets

Iran surrenders in June

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Iran will charge Hormuz fees

Covers 1 related market

Hormuz traffic stays disrupted through September

Covers 1 related market

Deal delayed until late 2026

Covers 2 related markets

US-Iran talks get extended

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

ResolvedStarmer out by...?$1,445 tracked1 signalStarmerUKkeirGrooming GangsPoliticsWorld

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Notable Trades

Starmer out by June 25, 2026?

62d ago

$1,445 on Yes at 88¢

Related Theses