Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
This Polymarket asks whether Keir Starmer will cease to be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at any point before May 15, 2026. It resolves to Yes if he resigns, is removed, or even announces a departure before that deadline; otherwise it resolves to No. PolySpotter is currently tracking $2,679 in smart money tied to this market, including 1 notable signal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between market creation and May 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,679.
Categories: Starmer, uk, keir, Grooming Gangs, Politics, World
Notable Trades
14-wallet sharp cluster
A highly profitable 85% win-rate wallet from a known 14-wallet funded cluster is adding a cross-market political thesis by buying No on Starmer leaving, and the price has already moved in their favor.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $1.25M lifetime
- 14 linked wallets share the same funder, which points to a coordinated high-conviction setup
- They bought No at 81¢ and the market is now 84¢, backing the view that Starmer stays in office
$2,679 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%
Top Holders
- 0xfcb5...68bc — Yes, $34,147 (13% win rate)
- 0x1fe4...afbb — Yes, $10,302
- 0x9d84...1344 — No, $10,269 (38% win rate)
- 0x17ed...c087 — No, $10,261
- 0xbc60...af79 — No, $8,263 (59% win rate)
- 0x54a7...881b — No, $7,454 (94% win rate)
- 0x9297...7fe9 — Yes, $6,939
- 0x8597...daee — No, $5,938 (80% win rate)
- 0xd21f...e03f — No, $5,417
- 0xae7c...487e — Yes, $5,134 (87% win rate)
