Part of: Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
This prediction market tracks whether a new U.S.-India free trade agreement becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026. PolySpotter monitors the market’s live Polymarket odds and smart money activity, including $1,641 tracked from 1 signal so far.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,641.
Categories: Geopolitics, Politics, Trump, World, Trade War, Tariffs
Notable Trades
Profitable macro serial bettor
Experienced profitable cross-market trader bought Yes in a very quiet U.S.-India trade-deal market, though the position has moved against their 41¢ entry.
- This bettor has traded 127 related-event markets and is up about $565K lifetime.
- They bought into a quiet market with $0 reported 24h volume and only about $9K liquidity.
- Entry at 41¢ was well above the current 26¢ price, so this is a contrarian long-term trade-deal thesis.
$1,641 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 57%
Top Holders
- 0x44c1...ebc1 — Yes, $4,353 (57% win rate)
- 0xeec5...b6fe — No, $1,829 (83% win rate)
- 0x581d...b2e3 — No, $1,684
- 0x8671...d4b7 — No, $1,665 (90% win rate)
- 0x57b0...76f4 — No, $1,500 (79% win rate)
- 0x30d1...4525 — No, $1,348
- 0x1d69...8f9e — Yes, $808
- 0xcf1d...8471 — Yes, $794
- 0xc902...cd14 — Yes, $573 (54% win rate)
- 0x275c...6090 — No, $542
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