Part of: U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $17,414.
Categories: Geopolitics, Oil, U.S. x Iran, Trump, Iran, Politics
Notable Trades
5-wallet Yes surge
Five wallets piled into Yes in a coordinated burst that drove a 40-point price jump, and several of the wallets have meaningful positive P&L across large sample sizes.
- Five wallets bought the same side within about a minute, totaling $11k and pushing Yes up about 41 points
- Several of these wallets are profitable over hundreds of resolved bets, including one up $284k and another with a 62% win rate
- Most buys were aggressive at 72¢ to 88¢, which signals conviction even though the market has since fallen back to 38¢
$11,030 on Yes
Profitable thesis trader
This looks worth surfacing because a moderately profitable, experienced wallet made a large cross-market thesis bet and bought No at 64¢ before the market moved sharply to 88¢.
- This bettor has 274 resolved trades, wins 69% of them, and is up about $24.8k overall
- They put $6.4k into No and the market moved from their 64¢ entry to 88¢, a strong early markout
- The bet is part of a 2-market event thesis totaling $11.3k, suggesting a deliberate view rather than a one-off punt
$6,385 on No | Wallet win rate: 69%
Top Holders
- 0x7780...763e — Outcome 50524326, $593,500
- 0xaf22...afce — Outcome 50524326, $393,330
- 0x84c5...710a — Outcome 50524326, $150,000
- 0xf8c0...04b9 — Outcome 50524326, $100,000
- 0x3ce0...59d5 — Outcome 50524326, $100,000
- 0x44e3...c39e — Outcome 50524326, $82,990
- 0x0b6f...c640 — Outcome 50524326, $64,690
- 0xe83f...35fb — Outcome 50524326, $50,000
- 0xe631...87b7 — Outcome 50524326, $50,000
- 0x1d4a...5e84 — Outcome 50524326, $50,000
