Part of: US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

This Polymarket asks whether the United States will assume primary operational control of the Panama Canal by December 31, 2026. The market resolves Yes if the US takes control through a diplomatic agreement, military action, or another route, including an official joint announcement by the US and Panama. Traders use this market to price the odds of a major geopolitical shift involving US foreign policy and Panama.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $4,452.

Categories: Politics, Trump, World, Geopolitics, Foreign Policy

Notable Trades

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

A bettor with an extraordinary 99% win rate made a fresh $4.45k contrarian buy on Yes by selling No at 88¢ in a market with zero 24h volume.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades with 531 wins and just 7 losses
  • They effectively bought Yes at 12¢ by selling No at 88¢, a very contrarian entry versus the current 9¢ market
  • The trade was $4.45k in a market with $0 24h volume, so this was a meaningful conviction bet

$4,452 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9507...7b04 No, $11,764 (88% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Yes, $10,352 (99% win rate)
  3. 0x9438...ad81 Yes, $4,267 (30% win rate)
  4. 0xa139...6f00 Yes, $3,954
  5. 0x0dde...94c3 No, $3,082 (86% win rate)
  6. 0x7c8c...1bdc No, $2,700
  7. 0x353c...2af5 No, $2,500 (68% win rate)
  8. 0xda47...941c No, $2,409
  9. 0x72e1...7d89 No, $2,253 (70% win rate)
  10. 0xb886...81b3 Yes, $1,928 (62% win rate)

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

231dUS takes Panama Canal before 2027?$4,452 tracked1 signalPoliticsTrumpWorldGeopoliticsForeign Policy
Yes
9¢
No
91¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Panama Canal comes under US control by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, US control means the United States assumes primary operational authority over the canal, either via diplomatic agreement, military action, or any other means. An official announcement made by the United States and Panama that the Panama Canal will come under US control will qualify, even if the actual transfer of control is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government and the Government of Panama, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that the Panama Canal has come under US sovereignty will also qualify.

Price History — “No
93¢
91¢
89¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

45d ago

$4,452 on Yes at 12¢

12¢9¢3¢