Part of: Gulf State military action against Iran by...?
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,029.
Categories: Israel x Iran, Oil, U.S. x Iran, UAE, Iran Offensive Strikes, Kuwait, Military Strikes, Bahrain, Geopolitics, Iran, Middle East, Regional Spillover, Oman, saudi arabia, qatar, strike
Notable Trades
87% win-rate geopolitics bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with an 87% win rate bought No at 86¢ in a geopolitics market, making this a credible sharp-follow signal despite only one detection source.
- This bettor wins 87% of their trades across 150 resolved markets and is up about $190k
- They have placed $5.7M across 106 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet
- They bought No at 86¢ in a liquid geopolitics market, backing the view that military action is still unlikely despite recent volatility
$6,029 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Top Holders
- 0xf99f...8742 — Outcome 12725228, $24,620 (24% win rate)
- 0x1b2c...f03f — Outcome 12725228, $10,792
- 0x79d8...5f64 — Outcome 12725228, $9,058
- 0xcd95...8c17 — Outcome 12725228, $6,337
- 0x8df9...468c — Outcome 12725228, $5,000
- 0xa0bc...d428 — Outcome 12725228, $3,420
- 0x5824...69a9 — Outcome 12725228, $2,000
- 0x2005...e414 — Outcome 12725228, $1,526
- 0x64db...89bb — Outcome 12725228, $1,497
- 0x99aa...522a — Outcome 12725228, $1,458
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