Part of: Michigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,956.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, Senate Primary, Michigan Primary, primary elections, August 4 Primaries, Democratic Primary, US Election

Notable Trades

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced serial trader with 1,137 resolved bets and over $1.1M in profit bought Yes before a sharp market move.

This bettor is up $1.1M across 1,137 resolved bets and has traded 275 events.
They bought Yes at 72¢, ahead of the market rising to 76%.
The market gained 47% over one day, adding support to the timing of the position.

$1,380 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable serial cross-market bettor

A highly experienced serial trader with 1,137 resolved bets and over $1.1M in profit bought Yes before a sharp market move.

This bettor is up $1.1M across 1,137 resolved bets and has traded 275 events.
They bought Yes at 72¢, ahead of the market rising to 76%.
The market gained 47% over one day, adding support to the timing of the position.

$1,169 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Elite serial bettor buys Abdul Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate bought Yes at 41¢ before the market rose to 50%, providing strong evidence of actionable conviction.

This bettor wins 84% of 171 resolved positions and is up $1.14 million.
They bought Yes at 41¢, while the market has since risen to 50%.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 68 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,067 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Elite serial bettor buys Abdul Yes

A highly profitable serial trader with an 84% win rate bought Yes at 41¢ before the market rose to 50%, providing strong evidence of actionable conviction.

This bettor wins 84% of 171 resolved positions and is up $1.14 million.
They bought Yes at 41¢, while the market has since risen to 50%.
The wallet has traded across 50 events and 68 markets, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off bet.

$1,341 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp bettor scaling into Yes

A proven profitable bettor with an 83% win rate and strong historical edge is adding $1,000 to an existing Yes position at 40¢.

This bettor wins 83% of resolved trades and is up $37,141 on $484,393 invested.
They are adding $1,000 to an existing $2,500 Yes position at 40¢, signaling continued conviction.
The wallet has traded across 25 events and 27 markets, indicating an established repeatable strategy rather than a one-off bet.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 83%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 34908487, $5,279
0x2b9d...adc0 — Outcome 41538703, $3,447 (51% win rate)
0xc62d...74fc — Outcome 41538703, $2,500 (83% win rate)
0xc7d0...1f8a — Outcome 41538703, $789
0xb51b...b4d9 — Outcome 41538703, $631 (60% win rate)
0x048a...9be4 — Outcome 41538703, $585
0xb492...12da — Outcome 41538703, $530
0x367c...da98 — Outcome 41538703, $400
0x264c...baca — Outcome 41538703, $280 (61% win rate)
0xdb97...eee8 — Outcome 41538703, $195 (78% win rate)

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Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?

ResolvedMichigan Democratic Senate Primary: Wayne County (Detroit) Winner$5,956 tracked5 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionSenate PrimaryMichigan Primaryprimary electionsAugust 4 PrimariesDemocratic PrimaryUS Election

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Wayne County in the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Wayne County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Wayne County.

Price History — “No”

101¢

53¢

5¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction