Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $9,526.

Categories: Germany, Politics, Elections, Saxony-Anhalt, deprec German Election, Global Elections, International Election Props

Notable Trades

89% winner leads four-wallet No cluster

A four-wallet $9.5k No cluster includes a highly profitable 89% winner and a serial cross-market trader, despite weaker results from the other wallets.

  • Four wallets committed $9,526 to No, with entries between 77¢ and 84¢.
  • The largest bettor wins 89% of 230 resolved trades and is up $218,243 overall.
  • The flow aligns with a serial cross-market trader active across 136 events, though several cluster members have poor lifetime results.

$9,526 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 45321092, $24,998
  2. 0x23d8...0288 Outcome 10646773, $9,864 (82% win rate)
  3. 0xf440...b009 Outcome 10646773, $3,275 (73% win rate)
  4. 0x944e...8c94 Outcome 10646773, $3,000 (67% win rate)
  5. 0x2b9d...adc0 Outcome 10646773, $2,175 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x8862...bd98 Outcome 10646773, $1,680
  7. 0xfb51...742d Outcome 10646773, $1,539 (71% win rate)
  8. 0xc8c7...3726 Outcome 10646773, $1,352 (79% win rate)
  9. 0x4827...333c Outcome 10646773, $1,162
  10. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 10646773, $882 (62% win rate)

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

ResolvedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?$9,526 tracked1 signalGermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-Anhaltdeprec German ElectionGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Notable Trades

Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?

5d ago

$9,526 on No at 84¢