Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Elections: AfD # of seats?
4 signals across 3 markets · $20,225 tracked · resolves Sep 6, 2026
This prediction market tracks the AfD’s projected seat total in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election, including whether it wins 38–41 seats. PolySpotter is monitoring the market’s smart-money activity; a sharp trader recently backed No in this thinly traded market.
Markets (3)
- Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?1 signal · $9,526 tracked
- Will AfD win 38-41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?2 signals · $8,196 tracked
- Will AfD win 34-37 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?1 signal · $2,503 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 89% winner leads four-wallet No cluster
A four-wallet $9.5k No cluster includes a highly profitable 89% winner and a serial cross-market trader, despite weaker results from the other wallets.
$9,526Score: 6.7 - Sharp trader backs No in thin market
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a large contrarian No position in a thin market, suggesting meaningful conviction.
$3,801Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 4.9 - Profitable serial trader buys No
A highly experienced, profitable serial trader placed a concentrated $2,503 bet on No at 90%, supported by an 82% win rate and repeated cross-market activity.
$2,503Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.7 - Sharp trader backs No in thin market
A highly profitable serial trader with an 83% win rate placed a large contrarian No position in a thin market, suggesting meaningful conviction.
$4,395Wallet win rate: 82%Score: 0.7
Top wallets in this event
- 0x23d81b…0288$8,196 · 1 market · 2 alerts · 82% wins
- 0x6db983…4ab5$2,503 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
FAQs
What are the Sachsen-Anhalt AfD seat odds?
Polymarket odds indicate the market’s current view on whether the AfD will win 38–41 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election. Check the live market for the latest price and implied probability.
What is the prediction market asking?
The child market asks whether the AfD will win between 38 and 41 seats in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt after the September 6, 2026 election.
What is smart money doing in this market?
PolySpotter has tracked one smart-money signal totaling $3,801 across the event. The latest alert reports that a sharp trader backed No, although the market is thinly traded.
When does the Sachsen-Anhalt AfD seats market resolve?
The market is scheduled to resolve by September 6, 2026, at 23:59 UTC, based on the AfD’s final number of seats in the Landtag.