Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
This prediction market asks whether Anthropic will restore US customer access to Claude Fable 5, also known as Claude Mythos, by 11:59 PM ET on July 1, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $2,000 in smart money activity on this market, including a recent repeat-wallet signal buying YES.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026. Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify. If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
New repeat wallet buying YES
A 2-day-old wallet is repeatedly placing sizable bets, now totaling $8,000 flagged, on an event-driven AI restoration market.
- A 2-day-old wallet has now made 4 flagged large bets totaling $8,000.
- This $2,000 buy is meaningful versus about $22,000 of market liquidity.
- The bettor paid 80¢ for Yes, implying confidence despite the market already pricing Yes near 78%.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe738...df65 — Yes, $3,252 (64% win rate)
- 0x4728...6426 — Yes, $2,763 (75% win rate)
- 0x76aa...c4f4 — Yes, $2,502 (100% win rate)
- 0xdf02...7d31 — No, $2,254
- 0xe474...1508 — Yes, $2,187 (61% win rate)
- 0xcd1d...6542 — No, $1,990
- 0xafa7...2cee — No, $1,600
- 0x97f3...0eba — No, $1,161 (41% win rate)
- 0x7d26...a7d1 — No, $1,049 (55% win rate)
- 0x7fd3...e662 — No, $1,000 (42% win rate)
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