Part of: Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,445.
Categories: Claude, Big Tech, anthropic, Claude Mythos, AI, Tech, Trump
Notable Trades
4-wallet NO cluster
Four wallets, including a brand-new wallet, bought $7.0k of No in a tight window on a near-expiry AI policy market.
- Four wallets bought $7.0k of No within seven minutes, all in the same direction.
- One wallet was only 15 minutes old, adding fresh-conviction signal to the coordinated flow.
- The market resolves soon, and the cluster entered around 67¢ with No already trading up to 68¢.
$7,046 on No
New repeat bettor backs No
An 11-day-old repeat bettor is building a $13.2k cross-market position on the Claude Fable 5 event, buying No as the market momentum strongly shifts that way.
- An 11-day-old wallet has now placed $13.2k in flagged bets across this event.
- They are backing the same No thesis across 3 related markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has moved sharply toward No, with Yes down 10.5 points today and 50 points this week.
$4,471 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
New repeat bettor backs No
An 11-day-old repeat bettor is building a $13.2k cross-market position on the Claude Fable 5 event, buying No as the market momentum strongly shifts that way.
- An 11-day-old wallet has now placed $13.2k in flagged bets across this event.
- They are backing the same No thesis across 3 related markets, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has moved sharply toward No, with Yes down 10.5 points today and 50 points this week.
$2,016 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%
80% winner buys Yes
Sharp serial cross-market trader with 80% win rate and $3.86M profit bought Yes at 52% on a plausible policy-driven AI access market.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $3.86M lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market trader with activity across 141 events and $5.6M in related event volume.
- Bought Yes at 52¢ while the market has moved up to 55¢, suggesting early confirmation of their view.
$1,911 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%
Top Holders
- 0xae7c...487e — Outcome 77578965, $7,000 (86% win rate)
- 0xa2de...6dd1 — Outcome 77578965, $5,106
- 0x7bc1...8db4 — Outcome 77578965, $4,782 (77% win rate)
- 0xd1af...f1a7 — Outcome 68614156, $2,936
- 0x0c35...7f0d — Outcome 77578965, $2,419
- 0x626e...fa46 — Outcome 77578965, $2,262
- 0xa676...1c22 — Outcome 77578965, $2,000 (44% win rate)
- 0xe7c6...2b25 — Outcome 77578965, $1,796
- 0xac02...e636 — Outcome 77578965, $1,679
- 0xe8c4...395d — Outcome 77578965, $1,640 (96% win rate)
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