Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,738.
Categories: NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Commodities, Oil, Iran, Geopolitics, Hormuz
Notable Trades
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A repeat new-wallet whale is building a large multi-market crude-oil thesis, and this trade bought Yes at 41¢ before the market moved up to 65%.
- This 21-day-old wallet has already made 16 large flagged bets totaling $153k, suggesting aggressive conviction rather than a one-off punt
- They have put $254k across 8 related crude-oil markets, which looks like a coordinated macro view instead of a single isolated trade
- This trade bought Yes at 41¢ and the market is now 65%, showing strong early price confirmation
$7,117 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 31%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A profitable wallet with a 72% win rate is reopening a sizable YES position across three related crude oil markets, suggesting a deliberate macro thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up nearly $79k lifetime
- They have put $76k across 3 related oil markets, which points to a clear event thesis
- Bought Yes at 32¢ and the market is already at 35¢, showing early favorable movement
$8,020 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Four wallets are making the same bullish oil bet across related markets, and two of them have strong win rates, making this coordinated macro positioning worth watching despite mixed quality in the cluster.
- Four wallets lined up on the same oil thesis across 4 related markets, with $37.6k behind it
- Two wallets in the group win often: one has a 90% hit rate over 111 resolved bets and another wins 77% over 61
- They bought Yes around 38-41¢, suggesting they see the chance of crude touching $100 by March as meaningfully higher than the market price
$37,623 on Yes
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A very high-win-rate serial cross-market trader flipped into No on crude oil hitting $100, suggesting a strong event-level view rather than a random one-off bet.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 323 markets and has traded 194 related markets
- They bought No at 72¢ after previously closing a Yes position, showing an updated view with fresh conviction
- This is part of a 10-market oil event pattern with $556k traded, so the bet fits a broader thesis
$3,580 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A new but highly active wallet keeps building the same crude-oil thesis across 8 related markets, and this latest $13k buy pushed into a liquid market at 71¢ before the contract moved in their favor to 62¢ No.
- This new 18-day-old wallet has already made 11 large flagged bets totaling $87.8k
- They have put $226k across 8 related crude oil markets, which looks like a clear event-wide view
- This trade bought Yes effectively at 29¢, and the market has already moved their way with No falling from 71¢ to 62¢
$13,026 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 31%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A very active new wallet is making another large cross-market crude oil bet, and this trade has already moved strongly in their favor from 74¢ to 62¢ on No.
- This 18-day-old wallet has already placed about $220k across 8 related oil markets, showing a strong event-wide thesis
- They sold No at 74¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes around 26¢, and the market is now 38% Yes
- The bet is meaningful at $7.2k, though it came in a deep and liquid market so the edge looks more thesis-driven than market-moving
$7,239 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 31%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A 92% win-rate trader with a massive cross-market commodities track record flipped to a fresh No position in this oil target market, suggesting a strong event-level thesis worth following.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 323 markets and has traded 194 related event markets.
- They bought No at 68¢ after closing an earlier Yes position, showing a clear change of view rather than routine profit-taking.
- The bet is in a liquid market with a tight 1¢ spread, so this looks like deliberate positioning on the oil event thesis.
$5,969 on No | Wallet win rate: 88%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A highly active cross-market trader with a 75% win rate sold Yes at 44¢ in this oil target market and the price has already moved in their favor to 38¢, making it a credible thesis worth following.
- This bettor has won 685 of 910 resolved bets and is up about $229k overall
- They trade this kind of event broadly — 11 related markets in the same event and 116 events total
- They sold Yes at 44¢ and the market is already down to 38¢, so the trade moved their way quickly
$3,356 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 68%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A mixed 8-wallet cluster is aggressively reloading into Yes after a major collapse, led by at least one elite 91% win-rate bettor and a 78% win-rate high-volume trader, making this a notable contrarian thesis worth watching.
- An 8-wallet cluster put $46.7k into Yes, including a bettor who wins 91% of trades and another up $300k lifetime.
- They bought after Yes crashed from the mid-80s to 38¢, suggesting a deliberate contrarian re-entry rather than routine whale flow.
- The same group has been active across 8 related oil-price markets with $227k total, pointing to a broader macro thesis instead of a one-off punt.
$46,721 on Yes
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
A profitable, high-volume cross-market trader joined a 6-wallet coordinated move into No on a major oil market after a large price swing, suggesting a real thesis worth watching despite the market's deep liquidity.
- Six wallets bought No together for $29.2k, a strong one-way move on the same outcome.
- This wallet has 270 resolved bets, wins 64% of them, and is up $57k lifetime.
- They flipped from an earlier Yes position into No at 64¢ as No surged nearly 36 points, showing a clear change in view.
$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%
Top Holders
- 0x11e5...ee4d — Outcome 92274168, $100,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x7ff0...9ce3 — Outcome 92274168, $85,809
- 0x43fc...93bb — Outcome 92274168, $54,410
- 0x6641...2aef — Outcome 92274168, $50,274
- 0x2722...75e9 — Outcome 92274168, $50,000
- 0xe5e5...93da — Outcome 92274168, $49,480
- 0x972e...4665 — Outcome 92274168, $46,250 (0% win rate)
- 0x264c...baca — Outcome 92274168, $42,323 (64% win rate)
- 0x5f3c...9001 — Outcome 92274168, $40,000
- 0xc0b8...9654 — Outcome 92274168, $39,000