Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
27 smart money signals detected, totaling $85,642.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
Sharp oil thesis trader
Sharp 81% lifetime winner with $590k profit is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590k lifetime.
- They have traded 9 related crude-oil markets with about $88.8k committed, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No is equivalent to buying Yes around 11¢, a long-shot bet that oil hits $105 by June 2026.
$3,010 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp oil thesis trader
Sharp 81% lifetime winner with $590k profit is expressing a broader crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590k lifetime.
- They have traded 9 related crude-oil markets with about $88.8k committed, showing a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Selling No is equivalent to buying Yes around 11¢, a long-shot bet that oil hits $105 by June 2026.
$1,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
81% winner oil ladder
Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is taking a cross-market bullish crude oil position across 9 related markets.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $590K lifetime.
- They have positioned across 9 related crude oil markets with about $90K in total exposure.
- Selling No at 83¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 17¢, implying a high-upside oil spike bet.
$2,495 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven oil thesis trader
Sharp profitable wallet with an 81% resolved win rate is effectively buying Yes on a crude oil threshold market while running a large cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $575K lifetime.
- They have traded 9 related oil markets in this event with nearly $89K positioned.
- Selling No at 74¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 26¢.
$4,462 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
Profitable serial cross-market trader bought $10k of Yes as part of a $33k four-market crude-oil thesis with recent price momentum.
- This bettor has a long record across related markets, with 177 resolved bets and $258,937 in lifetime profit.
- They are building a broader crude-oil thesis, with $33,077 spread across 4 markets in the same event.
- The market has moved toward Yes today, and this trade entered at 40¢ for a high-upside macro bet.
$10,089 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp macro trader buying NO
A highly profitable 81% win-rate trader is taking a sizable No position as part of a broad cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570K lifetime.
- They have bet across 9 related markets in this event, totaling $82.7K in exposure.
- Entry at 74¢ suggests they see crude staying below $105 as underpriced despite already-favored No odds.
$2,220 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Sharp cross-market oil trader
Sharp, profitable cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate is adding to a broader oil thesis across 9 related markets by buying No at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
- They have $82.7k positioned across 9 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- Buying No at 78¢ backs crude staying below $105 despite recent market movement.
$2,184 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
81% winner oil thesis
Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and $570k profit is adding a bearish oil position as part of a large cross-market crude thesis.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.6M traded across 156 related markets.
- This is part of a larger crude oil thesis: 9 markets and $78k positioned in the same event.
$1,128 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
$260K oil thesis bettor
A profitable wallet is expressing a broad crude-oil thesis, with $260K placed across 13 related markets and a fresh BUY No at 70¢.
- This wallet is up $257K lifetime and has traded over $12.5M across resolved markets.
- They have placed $260K across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad view on oil staying below key levels.
- This No buy lines up with momentum: Yes odds are down 12 points today and 6 points this week.
$4,177 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable macro cross-market bettor
Profitable wallet has built a $258k cross-market crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets and is adding Yes exposure here.
- This wallet is up $257k lifetime and has traded over $12.6M on Polymarket.
- They have built a $258k position across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad macro thesis.
- Selling No at 71¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 29¢, slightly above the current 28¢ market price.
$3,004 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
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