Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of March?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
8 smart money signals detected, totaling $91,878.
Categories: NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Commodities, Oil, Iran, Geopolitics, Hormuz
Notable Trades
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Profitable cross-market trader with a 72% win rate is reopening a sizable No position in crude oil after previously trading this market well, suggesting a deliberate event-level thesis rather than a random one-off bet.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $92k lifetime across 74 settled markets
- They have placed $88k across 3 related oil markets, which points to a broader event thesis instead of a one-off trade
- This is a fresh No buy at 69¢ in a liquid market, implying they think the chance of oil hitting $105 by March is lower than the market price suggested
$3,445 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A profitable 72% win-rate trader is re-entering this oil market as part of a larger $93.8k cross-market thesis, suggesting a deliberate macro view rather than a one-off trade.
- This bettor wins 72% of resolved trades and is up $92k lifetime
- They have put $93.8k across 3 related oil markets, showing a coordinated event-level thesis
- This is a fresh No buy at 74¢ in a liquid market, implying they still see March $105 oil as overpriced
$4,234 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate flipped into a fresh No position on this oil market after previously closing a Yes stake, signaling a deliberate thesis change worth following.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $88k across 139 settled positions.
- They trade related markets heavily — 7 markets in this event for $86.9k total — which suggests a broader oil thesis, not a one-off bet.
- This is a fresh No position at 67¢ after closing an earlier Yes stake, showing a clear change in view.
$3,890 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A proven sharp trader with an 88% win rate is making a fresh cross-market crude oil bet by buying No at 50¢ after previously closing a Yes position, signaling a meaningful thesis change worth tracking.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $87k across 139 settled positions
- They have traded 7 related crude oil markets for $86k total, showing a broad event-level view rather than a one-off bet
- This is a fresh No position at 50¢ after closing an earlier Yes stake, suggesting a deliberate flip in outlook
$3,057 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A 20-day-old wallet has repeatedly deployed six figures across 8 related crude-oil threshold markets, and this trade builds a clear directional thesis by buying Yes around 12-40¢ implied odds via selling No.
- This 20-day-old wallet has already made 13 large flagged bets totaling about $110k
- The bettor has put about $119k across 8 related crude-oil markets, showing a broad directional thesis
- This trade bought Yes from roughly 12¢ to 40¢, with the biggest fill at 12¢ implying a high-upside view
$43,507 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 31%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A profitable 72% bettor is reopening bullish crude exposure across three related oil markets, and this trade is already moving in their favor.
- This bettor has won 72% of 74 resolved markets and is up $78k overall
- They are betting the same oil view across 3 related markets with $58k total, not just making a one-off trade
- They bought Yes at 83¢ equivalent and the market has already moved to 76¢ No, so the trade is immediately in profit
$12,607 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
A bettor with a 91% win rate is building a broader crude-oil thesis across three related markets, and this trade is a fresh switch to No at a high implied probability.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is betting across 3 related crude oil markets
- They bought No at 85¢, a high-conviction price that says oil reaching $105 by March looks unlikely to them
- This is a fresh position change, not profit-taking — their prior stake here was a tiny closed Yes bet
$4,379 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Four wallets coordinated into the Yes side across related oil strike markets with meaningful size, including a serial cross-market trader and a repeat new wallet, making this a notable directional macro bet despite mixed individual track records.
- Four wallets put $16.8k on the same upside oil outcome, a coordinated bet that usually matters more than one whale acting alone.
- One bettor has traded 147 related markets across 96 events with a 62% win rate, suggesting this is part of a broader commodity thesis.
- Most of the size went in around 73¢ to 76¢ on Yes exposure, so the copy level is already far below their entry after the market dropped to 24¢.
$16,760 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Outcome 34523777, $227,998 (78% win rate)
- 0x80fe...b25b — Outcome 34523777, $15,000
- 0xa25c...6430 — Outcome 34523777, $14,765 (83% win rate)
- 0x5c0f...b2ad — Outcome 34523777, $12,910
- 0xc6b7...340b — Outcome 34523777, $12,000
- 0x5ac5...cf2e — Outcome 34523777, $11,790
- 0xb5f1...83dc — Outcome 34523777, $11,000
- 0x97be...3d09 — Outcome 34523777, $7,360
- 0xef76...951b — Outcome 34523777, $7,309
- 0x38ce...0430 — Outcome 34523777, $7,000
