Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

This prediction market asks whether the active-month NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) futures contract will post an official CME settlement price of $130 or higher on any trading day before the end of June 2026. Traders are pricing the odds of a major oil spike, with resolution based specifically on CME front-month settlement data. The market resolves on June 30, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,917.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

9-market oil thesis bettor

A high-volume event specialist is expressing the same thesis across 9 related crude oil strike markets, and this trade converts to buying Yes at 34¢ in a market that has already bounced 4.5 points today.

  • This wallet has put $101k across 9 related oil markets, showing a broad event-driven view rather than a one-off bet
  • The trade effectively buys Yes at 34¢ after selling No at 66¢, close to the current 34-35¢ market
  • The bettor is active and profitable over 1,033 resolved bets, though the edge looks moderate rather than elite

$6,917 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%

Top Holders

  1. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $13,554 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x952b...edfa No, $7,067 (80% win rate)
  3. 0x4047...7293 No, $7,030 (53% win rate)
  4. 0x8735...46e5 Yes, $6,086
  5. 0x97f3...0eba Yes, $5,069 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x3b7e...23eb No, $5,000
  7. 0x8e77...c4f3 No, $5,000
  8. 0x4d3e...783b No, $4,113 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xa092...11e3 No, $3,477 (97% win rate)
  10. 0x8276...48e4 Yes, $3,211

Related Theses

Covers 14 related markets

Covers 9 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

79d$6,917 tracked1 signalCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
41¢
No
59¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
77¢
57¢
37¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

2h ago

$6,917 on Yes at 34¢

34¢41¢7¢

Related Theses

Will Oil Hit $130 by June 2026? Polymarket Odds | PolySpotter