Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,304.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

93% winner oil thesis

Sharp 93% lifetime winner is extending a large cross-market oil thesis by buying No on crude reaching $130 by end of June.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
  • They have placed $97,302 across 3 related oil markets, showing a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 89¢ means they are backing crude staying below $130 through June 2026.

$2,199 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner fading oil spike

A proven profitable wallet with a 93% resolved win rate is adding a $9K No bet as part of a $104K cross-market crude-oil thesis.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 187 resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
  • They have placed $104K across 3 related crude-oil markets, showing a broad thesis against extreme oil spikes.
  • This $9K Buy No position equals 61% of the market’s 24h volume, a meaningful add despite only $28K liquidity.

$9,015 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner oil thesis

Sharp 93% lifetime winner is expressing a consistent cross-market crude-oil view, buying No at 90¢ after nearly $98k across three related markets.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45,940 lifetime.
  • They have put $98,296 across 3 related crude-oil markets, showing a consistent view.
  • Buying No at 90¢ signals confidence that crude oil will not hit $130 by end of June.

$1,933 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner oil bear

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved-bet record is taking a cross-market bearish oil position, including buying No on CL hitting $130 by June 2026.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45.9K lifetime.
  • They have put $96K across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader bearish crude thesis.
  • Buying No at 90¢ suggests they see $130 crude by June as very unlikely.

$1,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

84% winner buying upside oil

Sharp 84% lifetime winner with strong cross-market history is effectively buying Yes on crude reaching $130 by June 2026.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $433k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.6M deployed across 44 events.
  • Selling No at 79¢ is effectively buying Yes at 21¢, a high-upside position on crude oil spiking.

$1,580 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

93% macro bettor

A proven 93% winner with positive lifetime P&L is taking a cross-market No position against crude oil hitting $130, supported by recent downward odds momentum.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45.8k lifetime.
  • They have put $15.6k across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader crude-oil thesis.
  • The No side matches recent market momentum, with Yes odds down 17% over the past week.

$2,776 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

93% winner cross-market thesis

Sharp wallet with a 93% historical win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding a cross-market thesis by buying No on crude oil hitting $130.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $45.8K lifetime.
  • They have placed $16K across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 85¢ aligns with the market’s recent move lower, with Yes down 17.5% over the past week.

$1,700 on No | Wallet win rate: 94%

Proven bettor across five markets

Surface because a profitable 77% lifetime bettor is placing a directional cross-market crude oil bet across five related markets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $19.2K lifetime.
  • They have put $26K across five related crude oil markets, showing a clear directional thesis.
  • This buy aligns with recent momentum: Yes odds are down 13.5% over the past week.

$4,344 on No | Wallet win rate: 80%

Profitable macro specialist

Sharp, highly profitable serial cross-market trader bought $10.6k of Yes across related crude oil markets, scaling this outcome from 12¢ to 30¢.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $2.4M lifetime.
  • They have traded 81 related events with nearly $4M deployed, suggesting a repeatable macro-market edge.
  • They bought Yes aggressively from 12¢ to 30¢, pushing into a market already up 5.5% this week.

$10,635 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

84% cross-market sharp

Proven profitable cross-market trader is effectively buying Yes on crude oil reaching $130 after repeatedly positioning across this event.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $418K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with $1.5M across 101 markets and 41 events.
  • This is part of a broader 4-market thesis in the same event, totaling $18.3K.

$1,392 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1925...4654 Outcome 78281482, $47,188 (44% win rate)
  2. 0x2942...59ab Outcome 78281482, $22,119 (45% win rate)
  3. 0xafc0...5087 Outcome 78281482, $22,002 (67% win rate)
  4. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Outcome 78281482, $20,723 (78% win rate)
  5. 0xe94b...5abe Outcome 78281482, $19,029 (73% win rate)
  6. 0x1664...a0ce Outcome 78281482, $16,497
  7. 0x8fe7...4f20 Outcome 78281482, $6,887 (67% win rate)
  8. 0x8735...46e5 Outcome 78281482, $6,086
  9. 0x38b6...7bac Outcome 78281482, $4,001
  10. 0x682c...17ae Outcome 78281482, $3,907

Related Theses

Hormuz blockade persists

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Crude oil market arbitrage

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Iran peace deal won’t happen

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Iran deal by mid-June

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WTI stays between $90 and $105

Covers 5 related markets

Calendar arbitrage on talks

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Covers 11 related markets

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Iran closes airspace mid-May

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Crude oil stays rangebound

Covers 5 related markets

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

ResolvedWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$51,304 tracked16 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

53d ago

$2,199 on No at 89¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

53d ago

$9,015 on No at 90¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

54d ago

$1,933 on No at 90¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

54d ago

$1,260 on No at 90¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

57d ago

$1,580 on Yes at 21¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

57d ago

$2,776 on No at 85¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

57d ago

$1,700 on No at 85¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

57d ago

$4,344 on No at 80¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

63d ago

$10,635 on Yes at 30¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

69d ago

$1,392 on Yes at 30¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

73d ago

$1,802 on No at 78¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

73d ago

$1,588 on No at 71¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

78d ago

$1,329 on No at 66¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

79d ago

$1,673 on Yes at 47¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

80d ago

$1,162 on Yes at 39¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?

98d ago

$6,917 on Yes at 34¢

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Iran closes airspace mid-May
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Crude oil stays rangebound
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