Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

This Polymarket asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month Crude Oil (CL) futures will hit $140 or higher on any trading day before the final trading day of June 2026. The market resolves on June 30, 2026, based on CME settlement data, with $30,369 in smart money tracked and recent whale activity on both Yes and No.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

36 smart money signals detected, totaling $258,046.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

$495K-profit macro whale

A profitable wallet is effectively buying Yes at 16¢ with $30k here and $66k across related crude oil markets, showing a concentrated macro thesis despite only moderate signal strength.

  • This wallet is up about $495K lifetime and is making a $30K bet on Yes.
  • The same bettor has put $66.7K across related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader oil-spike thesis.
  • Selling No at 84¢ is the same as buying Yes at 16¢, implying a long-shot payoff if crude hits $140.

$30,369 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

77% winner oil thesis

Profitable 77% win-rate wallet is expressing a repeated cross-market thesis against crude oil reaching extreme highs, with $17k across five related markets.

  • This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up about $19k lifetime.
  • They have placed $17k across 5 related oil markets, suggesting a clear macro view rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying No at 83¢ means they are paying up for the view that crude stays below $140 by June 2026.

$1,660 on No | Wallet win rate: 77%

Profitable macro bettor scaling NO

Profitable wallet with $478k lifetime P&L is putting $32k into No and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets, showing a clear cross-market thesis.

  • This bettor is up $478k lifetime despite winning only 46% of resolved bets, suggesting selective larger wins.
  • They bought $32k of No here and $55k across related crude-oil spike markets.
  • Entry at 81¢ implies a high-conviction view that crude will not settle at or above $140 by June 2026.

$32,348 on No | Wallet win rate: 46%

99% winner oil bet

Elite wallet with a 99% resolved-bet win rate and $13.5M lifetime profit bought $9.6K of Yes on crude oil hitting $140 by June 2026.

  • This bettor wins 99% of resolved trades and is up $13.5M lifetime.
  • They put $9.6K on Yes at 19¢, implying a high-conviction long-shot oil move.
  • This is a serial cross-market trader with 38 events tracked and a 99% win record.

$9,605 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 99%

79% cross-market whale

Sharp, highly profitable cross-market trader bought $5.5k of Yes on crude oil hitting $140 by June 2026, adding a high-conviction long-tail energy bet.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved bets and is up about $2.47M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with nearly $4.0M deployed across 82 events.
  • They bought $5.5k of Yes around a 16¢ average entry, before the market moved to 19¢.

$5,511 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 79%

93% winner fades oil spike

Surfaced because a highly proven 93% winner with positive lifetime P&L is making a large correlated bet against oil hitting $140 by end-June.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 186 resolved bets and is up $45.9K lifetime.
  • They put $17.2K on No at 83¢, adding to a $22K cross-market oil thesis.
  • The market is liquid, but the wallet’s long track record makes the trade worth following.

$17,233 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner buying oil NO

Sharp wallet override: a 93% lifetime winner with positive P&L bought $14.1k of No and has $18.9k positioned across related crude oil markets.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They put $14.1k on No at 83¢, betting crude oil will not reach $140 by end of June.
  • The wallet has $18.9k across 2 related crude oil markets, showing a broader view rather than a one-off trade.

$14,106 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Profitable macro specialist

Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is adding a modest but thesis-driven Yes bet across related crude oil markets.

  • This bettor has traded 147 resolved markets, wins 59% of them, and is up $157.6K lifetime.
  • They are active across 33 events and 65 markets, suggesting a repeat macro/event strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • Buying Yes at 18¢ targets a high-upside oil spike outcome before June 2026.

$2,700 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 59%

93% winner buying No

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought No on a crude oil tail-risk market, despite only a modest cross-market signal.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 186 resolved bets and is up $43k lifetime.
  • They put $3.5k on No at 83¢, adding to an $8.3k cross-market crude oil view.
  • The market is liquid with a tight spread, so the signal comes mainly from the bettor’s strong track record.

$3,509 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

93% winner buys No

Sharp wallet with a 93% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No across related crude oil high-price markets despite only a modest cross-market signal.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $43,440 lifetime.
  • They put $3,735 on No, adding to an $8,513 cross-market view against crude oil hitting extreme highs.
  • The market is liquid, but the trader’s long track record makes the 83¢ entry worth following.

$3,735 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Top Holders

  1. 0xc3c3...eec8 Yes, $90,544 (99% win rate)
  2. 0xa80e...b94b No, $84,504 (46% win rate)
  3. 0x9631...89a1 No, $84,217 (93% win rate)
  4. 0x1664...a0ce Yes, $67,600
  5. 0x1925...4654 Yes, $49,539 (79% win rate)
  6. 0x93fb...3e4a Yes, $45,645 (32% win rate)
  7. 0x7447...a16d Yes, $44,626 (59% win rate)
  8. 0xf4d4...c3f9 No, $40,000 (60% win rate)
  9. 0x80b8...7c06 No, $22,382 (100% win rate)
  10. 0x4bbe...2cf3 Yes, $21,787 (78% win rate)

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Lightning, Stars or Knights win

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No US-Iran meeting by June

Covers 14 related markets

Iran keeps airspace open

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Iran deal by May or never

Covers 6 related markets

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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

38dWill Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?$258,046 tracked36 signalsCommoditiesHide From NewNYMEX Crude Oil FuturesOil
Yes
12¢
No
88¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

Price History — “No
90¢
84¢
78¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

2d ago

$30,369 on Yes at 16¢

16¢12¢4¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

2d ago

$1,660 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

4d ago

$32,348 on No at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

4d ago

$9,605 on Yes at 19¢

19¢12¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

5d ago

$5,511 on Yes at 16¢

16¢12¢4¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

7d ago

$17,233 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

7d ago

$14,106 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

7d ago

$2,700 on Yes at 18¢

18¢12¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

8d ago

$3,509 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

8d ago

$3,735 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

8d ago

$4,150 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

9d ago

$6,010 on No at 82¢

82¢88¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

9d ago

$2,460 on No at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

9d ago

$2,025 on No at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

9d ago

$1,215 on No at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

10d ago

$8,519 on Yes at 20¢

20¢12¢8¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$16,400 on Yes at 18¢

18¢12¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

11d ago

$18,577 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

12d ago

$2,660 on Yes at 19¢

19¢12¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

13d ago

$1,828 on Yes at 18¢

18¢12¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

15d ago

$2,268 on Yes at 19¢

19¢12¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

17d ago

$2,009 on Yes at 19¢

19¢12¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

18d ago

$10,772 on Yes at 19¢

19¢12¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

19d ago

$1,200 on Yes at 24¢

24¢12¢12¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

22d ago

$11,197 on Yes at 25¢

25¢12¢13¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

23d ago

$1,273

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

24d ago

$2,472

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

24d ago

$1,038

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

24d ago

$1,640 on No at 82¢

82¢88¢6¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

24d ago

$2,430 on No at 81¢

81¢88¢7¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

33d ago

$7,572 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

34d ago

$9,028 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

39d ago

$1,105 on Yes at 24¢

24¢12¢12¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

40d ago

$1,717 on Yes at 30¢

30¢12¢18¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

41d ago

$7,317 on Yes at 27¢

27¢12¢15¢

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?

2d ago

$10,389 on No at 83¢

83¢88¢5¢

Related Theses