Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
This Polymarket asks whether the official CME settlement price for front-month NYMEX Crude Oil (CL) futures will reach or exceed $140 on any trading day before the end of June 2026. The market resolves to Yes if that threshold is hit at least once; otherwise it resolves to No on June 30, 2026. PolySpotter currently tracks $16,322 in smart money activity on this market, including one recent signal tied to a 5-wallet oil cluster.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or above the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $16,322.
Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil
Notable Trades
5-wallet oil cluster
Five wallets piled into No for $16.3k during a 28.7x volume spike in a moderately liquid oil market, and several of the wallets have strong profitable track records.
- Five wallets all bought No for $16.3k in the same window as volume jumped 28.7x.
- Two of the bettors have strong records, including one who wins 85% of 71 resolved bets and another at 80% over 142 bets.
- They bought No around 74¢ to 84¢ while the market moved to 80¢, backing the view that $140 oil by June is unlikely.
$16,322 on No
Top Holders
- 0xb1fa...1a14 — Yes, $20,296 (24% win rate)
- 0x4047...7293 — No, $16,184 (53% win rate)
- 0x74b4...6bea — Yes, $15,231
- 0xb47a...6d60 — No, $9,450 (80% win rate)
- 0x952b...edfa — No, $8,039 (80% win rate)
- 0x8276...48e4 — Yes, $7,189
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — Yes, $6,993 (78% win rate)
- 0xa092...11e3 — No, $6,756 (97% win rate)
- 0xc8b7...12b9 — No, $6,598 (64% win rate)
- 0xc8ab...6418 — No, $5,001 (49% win rate)
