Part of: Will Crude Oil (CL) hit__ by end of June?

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Crude Oil (CL) futures is equal to or below the listed price between market creation and the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.

20 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,357.

Categories: Commodities, NYMEX Crude Oil Futures, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil ladder trader

Profitable wallet is expressing a large cross-market crude oil thesis across 13 related markets, with this trade effectively buying No at 40¢ after recent movement in that direction.

This wallet has placed $321k across 13 related oil markets, suggesting a structured view rather than a one-off bet.
The bettor is up $214k lifetime, even with a mixed 43% hit rate, which suggests its larger wins have outweighed losses.
Selling Yes at 60¢ is the same as buying No at 40¢, and the market has already moved toward that view.

$1,468 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

81% sharp cross-market trader

Sharp, profitable serial cross-market trader bought No on crude oil hitting $85, backed by an 81% resolved win rate and large prior activity across related markets.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
They are a major cross-market oil trader, with $90.6k across 9 related markets in this event.
Entry at 38¢ implies they see better odds than the market’s current 40¢ No price.

$1,650 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%

Profitable oil ladder trader

Profitable wallet is expressing a larger crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets, with this binary SELL Yes converting to a BUY No at 31¢.

This wallet is up $214k lifetime and has traded over $13M on resolved markets.
The trade is part of a much larger $321k position across 13 related crude-oil markets.
Selling Yes at 69¢ means they are effectively buying No at 31¢ on oil hitting this level by June.

$1,960 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable cross-market oil trader

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad cross-market crude-oil thesis across 13 related markets, making this more notable than the modest single trade size.

This trader is up $214k lifetime across 113 resolved markets despite a low hit rate.
They have placed $319k across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad directional thesis.
This trade buys the 26¢ side against a market that has moved 22.5 points toward Yes this week.

$1,160 on No | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable 13-market oil thesis

Profitable wallet with a broad $303k cross-market crude-oil thesis added Yes after a sharp one-day odds move.

This wallet has placed $304k across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad directional thesis.
The bettor is up about $198k lifetime and is adding after Yes odds jumped 22.5 points in one day.
Entry at 65¢ implies roughly a 1.5x payout if crude hits the threshold by June end.

$1,017 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Sharp oil trader with 81% wins

Sharp wallet with an 81% resolved win rate and +$570k lifetime P&L is adding to a broad crude-oil thesis across 9 related markets.

This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up $570k lifetime.
They have placed $82.6k across 9 related oil markets, showing a broad directional thesis.
Selling No at 40¢ is equivalent to buying Yes at 60¢, matching the current tight market price.

$3,615 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

13-market oil thesis

A profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a large cross-market crude oil thesis across 13 related markets, with this Yes buy already moving in its favor.

This high-volume bettor is positioned across 13 related crude oil markets with $287K in total exposure.
The wallet is up $257K lifetime despite a modest hit rate, suggesting selective upside on larger wins.
Bought Yes at 60¢ and the market has already moved to 64¢ with positive 1-day momentum.

$1,023 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Profitable cross-market oil bettor

Profitable high-volume wallet is building a cross-market crude oil thesis, buying Yes here after positioning across five related markets.

This bettor has won 73% of 459 resolved trades and is up $115,605 lifetime.
They have placed $11,127 across five related crude oil markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
This trade is equivalent to buying Yes at 52¢ after Yes fell 9 points today and 13 points this week.

$2,765 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broad crude-oil downside thesis across 13 related markets, with $267k already positioned in the event.

This wallet is up $246k lifetime and has traded over $12.5M across resolved markets.
They have $267k positioned across 13 related crude-oil markets, suggesting a broad thesis rather than a one-off bet.
This entry at 44¢ targets a roughly 2.3x payout if crude oil settles at or below $85 by end of June.

$4,656 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%

Sharp oil trader across 9 markets

Proven profitable wallet with an 82% resolved win rate is building a broad cross-market crude oil thesis, buying No here after positioning across 9 related markets.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up about $570k lifetime.
They have put $56.8k across 9 related crude oil markets, showing a clear directional thesis.
Buying No at 53¢ suggests they think crude staying above $85 is underpriced.

$1,194 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%