What does the David Lisnard 2027 French election market ask?

It asks whether David Lisnard will win the next French presidential election, whether the election takes place as scheduled or earlier.

What are the Polymarket odds that David Lisnard will win?

Current odds are not provided in the available market metadata. Check the live market page for the latest implied probability.

When does the David Lisnard election market resolve?

The listed resolution date is April 19, 2027. The election is currently expected around April 2027.

How is the French president elected?

France uses a two-round system. If no candidate wins more than 50% in the first round, the top two candidates advance to a runoff.

Part of: Next French Presidential Election

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

This Polymarket market asks whether David Lisnard will win the next French presidential election, expected around April 2027, with a resolution date of April 19, 2027. Current odds are not included in the available market metadata; the tracker shows $2,862 in smart money and one signal, including a recent alert reporting a purchase of No.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If, for any reason, the results of the election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,529.

Categories: French Election, Main Election, France, World, Politics, Global Elections, Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader backs No

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader opened a fresh $1,648 No position as part of activity across three markets in the same event.

This trader is up $237,339 across more than 13,000 resolved bets.
They put $1,648 on No and have activity across three markets in the same election event.
The entry was 82¢, close to the current 83¢ odds; this is a notable position, not an obvious price discount.

$1,019 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Profitable serial trader backs No

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader opened a fresh $1,648 No position as part of activity across three markets in the same event.

This trader is up $237,339 across more than 13,000 resolved bets.
They put $1,648 on No and have activity across three markets in the same election event.
The entry was 82¢, close to the current 83¢ odds; this is a notable position, not an obvious price discount.

$1,648 on No | Wallet win rate: 67%

Proven 81% winner buys No

A highly profitable bettor with 81% wins and extensive cross-market activity bought No, making this a credible trade despite the long time to resolution.

This bettor has won 81% of 345 resolved trades and is up $1.75M.
They have traded across 143 markets in 102 events, showing a sustained cross-market track record.
They bought No at 87¢ on a liquid presidential-election market; resolution is still years away.

$2,862 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%