Part of: Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,000.

Categories: Politics, Culture, Trump

Notable Trades

93% winner buying YES

Sharp-wallet override: a bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and nearly $100k profit bought $2k of Yes in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up about $99.9k lifetime.
  • They put $2,000 on Yes in a thin market with only about $1,018 of liquidity.
  • The buy was 56% of the market’s 24h volume, suggesting unusually strong conviction.

$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x187f...dd2b — Yes, $665
  2. 0x7698...5415 — Yes, $130
  3. 0x28ab...2048 — Yes, $124
  4. 0x77dc...ef04 — Yes, $88
  5. 0xb44a...7af0 — Yes, $81
  6. 0x07e0...1db9 — Yes, $69
  7. 0x1e1d...1c4b — Yes, $58
  8. 0xdaee...8559 — Yes, $56 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x510f...a43c — Yes, $30
  10. 0xac4a...bf1e — Yes, $29

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?$2,000 tracked1 signalPoliticsCultureTrump
Yes
0¢
No
100¢

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Notable Trades

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Zohran Mamdani by June 30, 2026?

2026-06-24 14:35 UTC

$2,000 on Yes at 86¢

Related Theses