Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
1 smart money signal detected, totaling $6,142.
Notable Trades
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
A serial cross-market trader with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record just made a $6.1k buy into a very quiet California governor market, accounting for over 22x the market’s 24h volume.
- This bettor is 22 for 22 on resolved markets and has traded across 32 events
- They bought $6.1k of Yes at 61¢ in a market that had only $276 of 24-hour volume
- The market has drifted down over the past day, so this looks like fresh conviction rather than chasing momentum
$6,142 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $21,834
- 0x15fd...cc95 — Yes, $13,424 (100% win rate)
- 0xd3a6...fd55 — No, $10,000
- 0x000d...758e — Yes, $3,377 (84% win rate)
- 0xfdfc...288c — No, $1,641
- 0x38e5...95e7 — Yes, $1,541 (80% win rate)
- 0x814d...b842 — Yes, $1,292
- 0x4cf2...e31c — Yes, $1,261
- 0x7919...72b2 — Yes, $1,170
- 0x893b...f5ec — Yes, $900
