California Governor Election Winner
6 signals across 4 markets · $17,378 tracked · resolves Nov 3, 2026
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Markets (4)
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?2 signals · $7,225 tracked
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?2 signals · $6,178 tracked
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?1 signal · $2,781 tracked
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?1 signal · $1,195 tracked
Top trades across all markets
- 8-wallet funded cluster
An 8-wallet funded cluster is driving a major breakout in this governor market, with this wallet buying Yes into a 41-point move above the market’s prior range on a still fairly thin book.
$1,326Wallet win rate: 70%Score: 9.5 - 12-wallet NO cluster
A 12-wallet funded cluster with a strong historical bettor is buying No after a major move, suggesting coordinated conviction in a liquid 2026 California governor market.
$1,082Wallet win rate: 78%Score: 8.0 - 88% win-rate political bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with an 88% win rate bought Katie Porter Yes at 9¢, making this a notable long-shot political position worth tracking.
$1,195Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 6.0 - 81% cross-market sharp
A proven serial cross-market trader with an 81% resolved win rate and $317k profit bought Yes into strong recent momentum, though sizing is modest for this liquid market.
$2,781Wallet win rate: 81%Score: 4.0 - 86% winner buys NO
A highly profitable 86% win-rate wallet bought nearly $4.9k of No on a California governor market and the position has already moved sharply in its favor.
$4,852Wallet win rate: 86%Score: 4.0 - Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
A serial cross-market trader with a perfect 22-for-22 resolved record just made a $6.1k buy into a very quiet California governor market, accounting for over 22x the market’s 24h volume.
$6,142Wallet win rate: 100%Score: 3.0
Top wallets in this event
- 0x15fdd6…cc95$6,142 · 1 market · 1 alert · 100% wins
- 0xde7be6…5f4b$6,047 · 2 markets · 2 alerts · 86% wins
- 0xdc03d6…804c$2,781 · 1 market · 1 alert · 81% wins
- 0x74e249…ea6d$1,326 · 1 market · 1 alert · 70% wins
- 0xcbab47…9a8a$1,082 · 1 market · 1 alert · 78% wins