Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,038.

Categories: Hungary Election, Global Elections, Orban, Magyar, Politics, Elections, Hungary

Notable Trades

84% win-rate sharp

A proven sharp bettor with an 84% win rate and strong historical edge is buying No at 90¢ after a huge market collapse, signaling confidence in the current favorite.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up about $207k across 320 resolved positions.
  • They bought No at 90¢ after the market swung hard, with Yes down 71 points in a day.
  • A 90¢ entry implies they still see the favorite as underpriced despite the recent crash.

$1,038 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

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  9. 0x5770...43b8 — Outcome 62294924, $639
  10. 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 62294924, $500

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?

Resolved$1,038 tracked1 signalHungary ElectionGlobal ElectionsOrbanMagyarPoliticsElectionsHungary

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Fidesz-KDNP wins at least the listed number of seats in the Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified coalition. If the specified coalition dissolves prior to the election, this market will resolve based on the total number of seats won by the two component parties. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

Notable Trades

Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?

7d ago

$1,038 on No at 90¢