Will France win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,100.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Profitable Eurovision cross-market bettor

A profitable 76% winner with a strong edge is buying France Yes at 7¢ while also positioning across multiple Eurovision markets.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $39,080 lifetime.
  • They have put nearly $13,000 across 4 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 7¢ offers high upside if their read on France is right.

$2,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,061,224
  2. 0xc4d1...8ce8 Yes, $365,225 (73% win rate)
  3. 0x45b0...4857 Yes, $141,346 (65% win rate)
  4. 0xd47e...ef51 Yes, $56,655
  5. 0x6db9...4ab5 Yes, $48,058 (76% win rate)
  6. 0x5aa1...d9b7 Yes, $34,130 (20% win rate)
  7. 0x44a1...bd21 Yes, $34,100 (56% win rate)
  8. 0x56d4...9c57 Yes, $22,672
  9. 0x8bfe...c44d Yes, $20,294
  10. 0x8bf3...6077 Yes, $18,391

Related Theses

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 2 related markets

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

13d$2,100 tracked1 signalMusicAwardsCulturerewards 100, 4.5, 100
Yes
6¢
No
94¢

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
96¢
91¢
87¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

5h ago

$2,100 on Yes at 7¢

7¢6¢1¢

Related Theses