Part of: Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
This prediction market tracks whether Fujimori wins the second round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by a margin of 0.2% to 0.3% of valid votes. The runoff is scheduled for June 7, 2026, and the market resolves based on the official margin between the top two candidates. PolySpotter is tracking $1,071 in smart-money activity and 1 smart-money signal for this market, with live odds updating as traders react to polling, campaign news, and election results.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,054.
Categories: Elections, Peru Election, Global Elections, Peru, Politics
Notable Trades
Profitable whale buys breakout
A highly profitable, very active wallet bought Yes into a sharp price breakout on a niche Peru election margin market.
- This bettor is up over $1.0M lifetime across more than 1,000 resolved markets.
- They bought Yes at 78¢ after the market broke far above its prior 32¢ range.
- The market has surged 26.5 percentage points in the past day, suggesting strong momentum behind the move.
$1,071 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 53%
Sharp profitable niche bettor
Surface because this is a proven profitable wallet with a 78% win rate and large lifetime profits taking a fresh Yes position in a niche, relatively thin election-margin market.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up about $294k lifetime.
- They bought Yes at 32¢ in a niche Peru election-margin market with only about $9k total volume.
- The market is thin with a wide spread, so a $2k buy is meaningful even though the position is currently marked down.
$1,983 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 31099151, $150,686
- 0x101e...eaf4 — Outcome 31099151, $927
- 0xa99b...1211 — Outcome 31099151, $800
- 0xefde...65ab — Outcome 31099151, $600
- 0xecf5...b7af — Outcome 31099151, $507
- 0x4905...3291 — Outcome 31099151, $250
- 0x3be0...9836 — Outcome 31099151, $250
- 0x1312...e932 — Outcome 31099151, $226
- 0xf8dd...494c — Outcome 31099151, $177
- 0x7d0b...b8b2 — Outcome 31099151, $150
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