Part of: Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,835.

Categories: World, Germany, Politics, Elections, Saxony-Anhalt, Sachsen-Anhalt, World Elections, German Elections, Global Elections, International Election Props

Notable Trades

Coordinated No bettors move market

Three wallets coordinated $3,835 in No bets at 74–78%, followed by a 24-point price move, with one bettor showing a meaningful 76% win rate on 74 resolved trades.

  • Three wallets bought No for $3,835 at 74–78%, and No subsequently rose to 100%.
  • One bettor wins 76% of 74 resolved trades and is up $11,839 lifetime.
  • The cluster includes an existing No holder adding to a $9,159 position, signaling increased conviction.

$3,835 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 98837858, $32,192
  2. 0x9648...6825 Outcome 97230498, $11,676 (70% win rate)
  3. 0x01da...ea89 Outcome 97230498, $2,500 (81% win rate)
  4. 0x6db9...4ab5 Outcome 97230498, $725 (82% win rate)
  5. 0x5a21...9318 Outcome 97230498, $700 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xfd59...0231 Outcome 97230498, $492
  7. 0x4d01...1645 Outcome 97230498, $269 (61% win rate)
  8. 0x0b65...013e Outcome 97230498, $212
  9. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 97230498, $208 (94% win rate)
  10. 0x0d93...8cbe Outcome 97230498, $110 (78% win rate)

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

ResolvedSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Grüne Vote Share?$3,835 tracked1 signalWorldGermanyPoliticsElectionsSaxony-AnhaltSachsen-AnhaltWorld ElectionsGerman ElectionsGlobal ElectionsInternational Election Props

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).

Notable Trades

Will Grüne win between 3% and 5% of all valid second votes?

5d ago

$3,835 on No at 76¢