Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $2,103.

Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100

Notable Trades

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

LLM evaluation inconclusive — kept for manual review.

  • LLM evaluation inconclusive

$2,103 | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $1,040,115
  2. 0xc4d1...8ce8 Yes, $394,383 (73% win rate)
  3. 0xd7ad...4953 Yes, $147,718 (38% win rate)
  4. 0x04d7...b035 Yes, $100,000 (25% win rate)
  5. 0x44a1...bd21 Yes, $48,187 (56% win rate)
  6. 0x7b17...51b1 Yes, $45,015
  7. 0x6db9...4ab5 Yes, $44,640 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xfffa...864b No, $40,665 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x5aa1...d9b7 Yes, $31,362 (20% win rate)
  10. 0xec5e...3d71 Yes, $26,616

Related Theses

Covers 1 related market

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

16d$2,103 tracked1 signalMusicAwardsCulturerewards 100, 4.5, 100
Yes
12¢
No
88¢

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Price History — “No
96¢
91¢
86¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?

2h ago

$2,103

Related Theses

Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | PolySpotter