Part of: Eurovision Winner 2026
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $68,614.
Categories: Music, Awards, Culture, rewards 100, 4.5, 100, Eurovision
Notable Trades
79% winner backs longshot
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 79% win rate and +$2.35M lifetime P&L bought Greece Yes at 6¢ despite the market drifting lower.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 81 events with nearly $4M tracked volume.
- Entry at 6¢ is a longshot bet, but their record suggests they may see value despite recent weakness.
$1,099 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
79% winner buying longshot
Sharp wallet with 79% win rate and +$2.35M lifetime P&L is buying Greece Yes at 6¢ across Eurovision markets.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $2.35M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.94M deployed across 81 events.
- Buying at 6¢ implies a high-upside longshot thesis despite Greece drifting over the past week.
$3,810 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
91% winner exits Yes
Sharp 91% winner is exiting Greece Yes after a large prior position and has cross-market Eurovision exposure, implying a copyable lean toward No despite some profit-taking context.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $67.7K lifetime.
- They sold $4.6K of Greece Yes after previously building a much larger position, signaling reduced confidence.
- The same wallet has $11.3K across related Eurovision markets, suggesting an active event-level thesis.
$4,602 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Proven Eurovision positioner
Proven profitable wallet with an 80% resolved win rate is expressing a broader Eurovision thesis by selling Greece Yes across a cross-market event position.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $45k lifetime.
- They have positioned across 5 markets in the same Eurovision event, totaling about $21.9k.
- Selling Greece at 11¢ is equivalent to buying No at 89¢, matching the market’s current favorite side.
$1,100 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp Eurovision bear
Sharp profitable wallet with an 80% resolved-bet win rate is taking a bearish Greece position while also trading across multiple Eurovision markets.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up about $45K lifetime.
- They have put $22K across 5 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader event thesis.
- Selling Greece Yes at 13¢ converts to buying No at 87¢.
$1,294 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
88% winner backs longshot
Sharp positive-P&L wallet with an 88% resolved win rate is taking a contrarian Eurovision position on Greece despite recent price weakness.
- This bettor has won 15 of 17 resolved trades and is up about $62k lifetime.
- They have put about $11k across related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 13¢ implies a longshot payout if Greece’s odds rebound.
$2,005 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
88% serial market winner
Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 88% resolved win rate and +$196k P&L is buying Greece Eurovision No at 78¢.
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $196k lifetime.
- They have traded across 160 markets and $5.8M in volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying No at 78¢ means they are fading Greece despite its recent move up to 21% odds.
$1,874 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
78% winner Eurovision thesis
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is building a broader Eurovision thesis, buying Greece Yes at 22¢ amid strong recent price momentum.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $43,767 lifetime.
- They have put $23,498 across 5 Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader researched view.
- Greece has already moved nearly 10 points in 24 hours, and this buy came at 22¢.
$2,742 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
Sharp Eurovision cross-market fade
Sharp profitable wallet with a 78% resolved win rate is fading Greece after a major price rally while also positioning across multiple Eurovision markets.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $43.8k lifetime.
- They have placed $23.6k across 5 related Eurovision markets, suggesting a broader thesis.
- They are fading Greece after its odds jumped 15 points in a day, effectively buying No at 73¢.
$2,805 on No | Wallet win rate: 81%
Coordinated Greece Yes flow
Three wallets bought $32.8k of Greece Yes during a major Eurovision volume spike, led by one profitable bettor and a $27.6k concentrated buy at 14¢.
- Three wallets bought the same side within minutes, totaling $32.8k at 14¢.
- One buyer has made $162.8k lifetime across 805 resolved bets, despite usually betting higher-priced outcomes.
- Market volume is spiking 96x above normal, suggesting fresh attention on this Eurovision outcome.
$32,815 on Yes
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 30621052, $1,961,728
- 0xc4d1...8ce8 — Outcome 82294265, $386,647 (69% win rate)
- 0x6db9...4ab5 — Outcome 82294265, $41,100 (81% win rate)
- 0x5aa1...d9b7 — Outcome 82294265, $33,192 (31% win rate)
- 0x92bb...1afb — Outcome 82294265, $20,000
- 0xf121...ad44 — Outcome 82294265, $17,481
- 0xfafa...a39f — Outcome 82294265, $16,042
- 0x7f88...b10e — Outcome 82294265, $14,765
- 0x454c...bd22 — Outcome 82294265, $13,902
- 0x895f...cfad — Outcome 82294265, $13,065
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