Part of: Zambia Presidential Election Winner

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

This prediction market tracks whether Hakainde Hichilema will win Zambia’s next presidential election, currently scheduled for August 13, 2026, including any potential second round. PolySpotter is tracking $1,468 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market; odds may change as polling, party dynamics, and election news develop. The market is expected to resolve after the election results are known, with a fallback resolution to “Other” if definitive results are not available by March 31, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,468.

Categories: Main Election, Zambia, President, Politics, Elections, Global Elections

Notable Trades

Profitable whale in quiet market

A highly experienced profitable wallet bought Yes in a very quiet niche politics market, making a bet over 55x the market's 24h volume.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 883 resolved trades and is up $81.6k lifetime.
  • The $1.47k buy was more than 55x this market’s 24h volume, a strong signal in a quiet market.
  • Entry at 80¢ suggests they are backing Hichilema as a clear favorite despite minimal recent trading.

$1,468 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1f0a...f7aa — Yes, $1,835 (78% win rate)
  2. 0x1f9e...4f1a — Yes, $506 (59% win rate)
  3. 0x2106...4dea — No, $433 (9% win rate)
  4. 0x6ab0...06fd — No, $317
  5. 0xc602...7fc1 — No, $200 (43% win rate)
  6. 0x2d48...678c — No, $185
  7. 0xe8fc...0d3b — No, $149
  8. 0x7ac8...77cd — No, $147 (42% win rate)
  9. 0x1cdd...e595 — No, $127
  10. 0xa3e2...fdf8 — No, $93

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

59dZambia Presidential Election Winner$1,468 tracked1 signalMain ElectionZambiaPresidentPoliticsElectionsGlobal Elections
Yes
84¢
No
16¢

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Zambia on August 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Zambian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Zambian government sources, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (www.elections.org.zm/).

Price History — “Yes”
86¢
81¢
77¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

2h ago

$1,468 on Yes at 80¢

80¢→84¢↑4¢