Part of: Eurovision 2026: Televote Winner

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,941.

Categories: Eurovision, Awards, Music, Culture

Notable Trades

Profitable contrarian bettor

A profitable 77% winner is taking a $3.1k contrarian No position after Israel's Yes odds rallied sharply over the past week.

This bettor wins 77% of resolved trades and is up $2.9k lifetime.
They put $3.1k on No at 48¢, fading a market where Yes has jumped 24 points this week.
Entry near even money implies they think the recent Israel televote rally is overdone.

$3,113 on No | Wallet win rate: 73%

Profitable last-minute buyer

A profitable high-volume wallet bought Yes 12 minutes before resolution on a market with strong recent upward momentum, suggesting a plausible late-information edge despite the modest trade size.

This bettor is up $174k across 835 resolved trades, showing a long profitable track record.
They bought Yes at 55¢ just 12 minutes before resolution, when late information can matter most.
The market has moved strongly toward Yes, up 25 points over the past week.

$1,828 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 67%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 17869220, $59,819
0xd70f...4e35 — Outcome 85654535, $16,596
0x9770...0ff5 — Outcome 85654535, $15,500 (63% win rate)
0x498f...7ee2 — Outcome 85654535, $13,465
0xd7ad...4953 — Outcome 85654535, $8,281 (41% win rate)
0x0bb9...9725 — Outcome 85654535, $3,313 (67% win rate)
0xcdb7...5e2a — Outcome 85654535, $3,293 (95% win rate)
0xf76f...df4f — Outcome 85654535, $3,193
0x9297...0068 — Outcome 85654535, $2,783 (78% win rate)
0xb913...e52f — Outcome 85654535, $2,688

Related Theses

Temporary ceasefire by July 31

Covers 4 related markets

Iran blockade ends in September, not August

Covers 5 related markets

Iran closes airspace imminently

Covers 5 related markets

Greece Romania outperform Eurovision 2026

Covers 4 related markets

Ceasefire briefly extends into August

Covers 4 related markets

Israel airspace closes June 8-9

Covers 8 related markets

Hormuz blockade stays in place

Covers 3 related markets

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

ResolvedEurovision 2026: Televote Winner$4,941 tracked2 signalsEurovisionAwardsMusicCulture

The Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026 is scheduled for May 16, 2026. This market will resolve to the country that receives the highest number of points from the televote in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2026. All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.