Cross-Market Thesis

Ceasefire comes, then collapses

This trader is expressing a view that US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?, US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?, and 1 more are correlated outcomes, committing $5,732 to this thesis across 4 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xbd04773% win rate

Total

$5,732

Markets

4

Positions

  1. 1US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
    $1,507 @ 55¢
  2. 2US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?
    $1,053 @ 37¢
  3. 3US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
    $2,011 @ 81¢
  4. 4US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
    $1,161 @ 64¢
Ceasefire comes, then collapses — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter