Cross-Market Thesis

“No Iran deal by June”

This trader is expressing a view that US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?, US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?, and 5 more are correlated outcomes, committing $13,959 to this thesis across 8 prediction markets on Polymarket.

T
Trader_0xbd04770% win rate

Total

$13,959

Markets

8

Positions

  1. 1US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
    $2,471 @ 72¢
  2. 2US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?
    $1,732 @ 38¢
  3. 3US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
    $1,140 @ 38¢
  4. 4US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
    $1,439 @ 29¢
  5. 5US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
    $3,171 @ 32¢
  6. 6US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
    $1,125 @ 75¢
  7. 7US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
    $1,224 @ 41¢
  8. 8US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
    $1,657 @ 4¢
No Iran deal by June — Cross-Market Analysis | PolySpotter