Part of: Florida Governor Republican Primary Second Place

Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,640.

Categories: Politics, Elections, Primaries, deprec USA Election, Florida Primary, Governor Primary, primary elections, Republican Primary, August 18 Primaries, US Election, Florida Governor

Notable Trades

Profitable serial trader buys Yes

A highly experienced serial trader with a 68% win rate bought Yes at 81%, followed by a sharp move to 99%, though the simultaneous No purchase makes the overall thesis mixed.

This bettor has won 68% of 100 resolved trades and is up $827,638 lifetime.
Their $1,997 Yes purchase at 81¢ preceded a move to 99%, a strong confirmation of that leg.
The simultaneous $1,468 No purchase suggests hedging or activity across related markets, so only the Yes position has a clear copy signal.

$3,465 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 70%

Profitable serial trader buys Collins

A highly experienced, profitable serial cross-market trader placed a fresh $1,176 bet in a relatively quiet political market, though the demonstrated edge is moderate rather than exceptional.

This trader has resolved 1,170 bets, a 72% win rate, and $1.16 million in lifetime profit.
The $1,176 position was more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in a quiet market.
The Yes price has risen 9.5% over the past week, broadly supporting the trader’s direction.

$1,176 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 96675412, $22,651
0x2779...239a — Outcome 96675412, $4,742 (77% win rate)
0xb741...a996 — Outcome 96675412, $2,500 (67% win rate)
0x122c...fbed — Outcome 96675412, $2,000 (60% win rate)
0xb436...bb3c — Outcome 96675412, $1,658 (74% win rate)
0x0b91...ae77 — Outcome 96675412, $1,500 (34% win rate)
0x3089...92f6 — Outcome 96675412, $1,110 (38% win rate)
0x6a3c...2db9 — Outcome 96675412, $778 (14% win rate)
0xf6f1...b386 — Outcome 96675412, $700 (43% win rate)
0xa917...4e8d — Outcome 96675412, $662

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Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

ResolvedFlorida Governor Republican Primary Second Place$4,640 tracked2 signalsPoliticsElectionsPrimariesdeprec USA ElectionFlorida PrimaryGovernor Primaryprimary electionsRepublican PrimaryAugust 18 PrimariesUS ElectionFlorida Governor

This market will resolve according to the individual who places second in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Price History — “Yes”

102¢

86¢

69¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction