Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $3,665.

Notable Trades

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

A highly profitable 84% win-rate trader from a 5-wallet linked cluster sold Cornyn Yes at 31¢, which translates into a clear buy-No signal around 69¢ on a major political market.

  • This bettor wins 84% of their trades and is up $1.2M across nearly 1,000 resolved markets.
  • Five linked wallets share the same funder, suggesting a coordinated view rather than a one-off trade.
  • They sold Cornyn Yes at 31¢, which is equivalent to buying No around 69¢ in this market.

$3,665 on No | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 No, $381,659
  2. 0x9d84...1344 Yes, $48,032
  3. 0x4488...e319 Yes, $39,554 (54% win rate)
  4. 0xdbad...9c95 Yes, $27,624
  5. 0x4cc3...7552 No, $26,216
  6. 0xdc03...804c Yes, $23,691 (83% win rate)
  7. 0xcd71...d127 No, $22,541
  8. 0x000d...758e Yes, $20,519 (84% win rate)
  9. 0x893b...f5ec Yes, $17,400
  10. 0x2cd7...7061 No, $14,658

Related Theses

Covers 2 related markets

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

56d$3,665 tracked1 signalPoliticsUS ElectionElectionsPrimariesParent For Derivativeprimary electionsTexas SenateSenate PrimaryRepublican PrimaryTexas PrimaryMarch 3 Primaries
Yes
33¢
No
67¢

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Notable Trades

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

1h ago

$3,665 on No at 69¢

69¢67¢2¢

Related Theses

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | PolySpotter